Prediction for match RB Leipzig — Bayern, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

In the Bundesliga on January 17, 2026, RB Leipzig will face Bayern. According to the 1X2 odds, Bayern is the favorite with odds of 1.63, a draw is priced at 4.78, and an RB Leipzig win is at 5.23. The probabilities are distributed as follows: RB Leipzig win 18.86%, draw 20.63%, Bayern win 60.51%. This reflects a significant pre-match advantage for the Munich side.

Team Results and Statistics

RB Leipzig's last three matches were: January 14 - RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg, December 20 - RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer, December 12 - Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig. Bayern's recent results: January 14 - Cologne 1-3 Bayern, January 11 - Bayern 8-1 Wolfsburg, December 21 - Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern. On average over the last 5 games, RB Leipzig has 54.6% ball possession, 1 yellow card, 9.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Bayern has 72.2% possession, 0.8 yellows, 7 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last encounter on August 22, 2025, Bayern thrashed RB Leipzig 6-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show high scoring capabilities: RB Leipzig has an average total of 4 goals over 5 matches, while Bayern averages 5. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 5, and in all 5 of Bayern's. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened in 3 of RB Leipzig's matches and in 4 of Bayern's. In the second half, it's 3 for RB Leipzig and 5 for Bayern. RB Leipzig scores an average of 2.6 goals, Bayern 4, with goals conceded at 1.4 and 1 respectively. RB Leipzig often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Bayern scores between 61-75 and 76-90 (29% each). RB Leipzig concedes most between 31-45 minutes (40%), Bayern between 31-45 and 76-90 (27% each). Given both teams' high scoring and frequent over 2.5 totals, betting on over 3.5 goals at 1.92 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

RB Leipzig averages 4.2 corners per game, Bayern 5.8. In the last 5 matches, RB Leipzig's total over 9.5 occurred 3 times, Bayern's once. The line for total corners over 9.5 is 1.85, under 9.5 is 1.90. Bayern is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.42. Both teams are capable of creating chances, making a bet on over 9.5 corners reasonable given their average stats and attacking styles.