Prediction for match RB Leipzig — Mainz 05, 31.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 is scheduled for January 31, 2026. The main odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for RB Leipzig is priced at 1.60, a draw at 4.72, and a victory for Mainz 05 at 5.64. The probabilities are distributed as follows: RB Leipzig - 61.63%, draw - 20.89%, Mainz 05 - 17.48%. With these figures, RB Leipzig is considered the favorite, but the recent performance statistics of both teams do not suggest a clear advantage for either side. The betting line also offers options for totals and both teams to score, highlighting the interest in goal events in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's take a look at the recent performances of both teams. In their last five matches, RB Leipzig played as follows: January 27, 2026, St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig, January 24, Heidenheim 0-3 RB Leipzig, January 17, RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern Munich. Prior to that, they faced Freiburg on January 14, winning 2-0, and Bayer Leverkusen on December 20, 2025, losing 1-3. Mainz 05's recent matches include: January 24, 2026, Mainz 05 3-1 Wolfsburg, January 17, Cologne 2-1 Mainz 05, January 13, Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim, January 10, Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz 05, and December 21, 2025, Mainz 05 0-0 St. Pauli. In their last head-to-head meeting on September 13, 2025, Mainz 05 lost to RB Leipzig 0-1. Over the last five matches, RB Leipzig has averaged 55.6% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Mainz 05 has shown 47.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. These figures reflect a difference in style and discipline but do not provide a clear advantage for either team in secondary statistical parameters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Based on the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games. RB Leipzig has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Mainz 05 has done so in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in RB Leipzig's matches during this period is 3.4, and for Mainz 05, it's 2.8. Both teams score 1.6 goals per game, with RB Leipzig conceding 1.8 and Mainz 05 conceding 1.2. Notably, both teams are more active in the second half, with RB Leipzig seeing over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Mainz 05 doing the same. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for each team in 5 games, indicating more activity after the break. In terms of goal intervals, RB Leipzig most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Mainz 05 scores most often between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%). RB Leipzig concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (42%), and Mainz 05 between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Overall, the statistics on totals and halves support a bet on over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.58, considering the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and emphasis on the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for RB Leipzig over 5 matches is 3.4, and for Mainz 05, it's 6.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred 2 out of 5 times for RB Leipzig and 3 out of 5 times for Mainz 05. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages (3.4 + 6.6 = 10) is 10.5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.09, and for under 1.66. For the outcome on corners, RB Leipzig is the favorite with odds of 1.55. Given that Mainz 05 consistently delivers a high number of corners, while RB Leipzig fewer, a bet on over 10.5 corners or a win for RB Leipzig on corners looks reasonable when considering additional options.