Prediction for match RB Leipzig — Freiburg, 14.01.2026

Match Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

On January 14, 2026, in the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig will face Freiburg. The odds for an RB Leipzig victory are 1.86, a draw is at 4.12, and a Freiburg win is at 4.26. In terms of outcome probabilities, RB Leipzig has a 52.96% chance, a draw stands at 23.91%, and Freiburg has 23.13%. These figures highlight RB Leipzig as the favorite, but the margin is not significant, which could add intrigue to the match. RB Leipzig is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but Freiburg is capable of putting up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, RB Leipzig has averaged 53.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Freiburg, over the same period, averages 56.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. RB Leipzig's last three matches: 20.12.2025 - RB Leipzig vs Bayer - 1-3, 12.12.2025 - Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig - 3-1, 06.12.2025 - RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt - 6-0. Freiburg's recent results: 10.01.2026 - Freiburg vs Hamburg - 2-1, 20.12.2025 - Wolfsburg vs Freiburg - 3-4, 14.12.2025 - Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 08.03.2025, Freiburg and RB Leipzig drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

RB Leipzig scores an average of 2.2 goals per match and concedes 1.4, while Freiburg scores 1.8 and also concedes 1.4. In terms of totals, RB Leipzig has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Freiburg has seen it in 3 of 5. In the first half, RB Leipzig had 2 or more goals in 3 of 5 matches, while Freiburg had 1 of 5. In the second half, RB Leipzig had over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches, and Freiburg in 3 of 5. The average total goals in RB Leipzig's matches is 3.6, and for Freiburg, it's 3.2. RB Leipzig most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (31%), and Freiburg in the same interval (44%). Both teams most commonly concede between the 31st and 45th minutes: RB Leipzig - 40%, Freiburg - 29%, and Freiburg also at 29% from 46 to 60 minutes. Given the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent over 2.5 totals, and consistent goal averages, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

RB Leipzig averages 4 corners per game, while Freiburg averages 5.6. In the last five matches, RB Leipzig has seen over 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5, while Freiburg has seen it 2 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.81, under 9.5 is at 1.93. For corners, RB Leipzig is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Considering both teams' activity in taking corners and RB Leipzig's frequent over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual corner stats can also be considered, given the difference in averages between the teams.