Prediction for match RB Leipzig — Werder Bremen, 23.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen is scheduled for November 23, 2025. The odds for an RB Leipzig win are 1.50, a draw is priced at 5.33, and a victory for Werder Bremen is at 6.14. According to the 1X2 percentages, RB Leipzig has a 65.54% chance, a draw is at 18.45%, and Werder Bremen is at 16.01%. These odds and probabilities clearly position RB Leipzig as the strong favorite. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.31, while under 3.5 goals is at 2.00, indicating expectations for a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, RB Leipzig has shown the following metrics: 50.6% ball possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Werder Bremen has slightly higher possession at 51.4%, with an average of 3 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, RB Leipzig lost to Hoffenheim 1-3, defeated Stuttgart 3-1, and beat Energie Cottbus 4-1. Werder Bremen, during the same period, won against Wolfsburg 2-1, drew with Mainz 1-1, and defeated Union Berlin 1-0. In their previous head-to-head on May 10, 2025, Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig played to a 0-0 draw, which aligned with an under 2.5 goals outcome.

Goal Totals Statistics

RB Leipzig has consistently hit over 2.5 goals in their last 5 matches - 5 out of 5 times, while Werder Bremen managed this only 2 times out of 5. In terms of halves, Leipzig scored over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times and in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Werder Bremen did not achieve over 1.5 goals in the first half but did so 2 out of 5 times in the second half. Leipzig's average goals over 5 matches are 4.4, with 3.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Werder Bremen's average total is 2.2, with 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. Leipzig most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Werder Bremen scores most often between the 76-90 minutes (43%). Leipzig concedes goals evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 46-60 minutes (23% each). Werder Bremen's goals conceded are more evenly distributed: 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90 minutes (25% each). Given this scenario, a bet on over 3.25 goals with odds of 1.66 seems justified: RB Leipzig shows high scoring potential, while Werder Bremen concedes regularly but does not have an impenetrable defense, with both teams showing more overs in the second half.

Corner Kicks

RB Leipzig averages 4.4 corner kicks over their last 5 matches, while Werder Bremen averages 5. Both teams have seen the over 9.5 corners bet come in 3 out of 5 matches. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.66, and under 9.5 is 2.14. RB Leipzig is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.37. Based on the statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical, as both teams regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per match, and the over has hit more often than not. Additionally, on individual totals, RB Leipzig consistently delivers 4-6 corners per game, while Werder Bremen usually falls in the 4-5 range, supporting the choice for an overall over total.