Prediction for match Real Madrid — Real Betis, 04.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On January 4, 2026, in La Liga, Real Madrid will face Real Betis. The 1X2 odds are set at 1.51 for a Real Madrid win, 5.03 for a draw, and 6.40 for a Real Betis victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Real Madrid - 65.10%, draw - 19.54%, Real Betis - 15.36%. This indicates a significant advantage for Real Madrid according to bookmakers, although Real Betis has shown effectiveness in recent matches. The goal total options are quite varied: over 2.75 goals is at 1.52, both teams to score - yes at 1.57, and over 3.0 goals at 1.67. Individual totals: Real Madrid over 2 goals at 1.70, Real Betis over 0.5 goals at 1.49. The most interesting goal lines are in the 2.5-3.5 range, which is also supported by the recent games' statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Madrid has an average possession of 55.2%, 2.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Real Betis, in the same period, has 49.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Madrid beat Sevilla 2-0, overcame Talavera 3-2, and defeated Alaves 2-1. Real Betis, in their last three, thrashed Getafe 4-0, won against Real Murcia 2-0, and drew with Rayo Vallecano 0-0. In their head-to-head match on March 1, 2025, Real Betis emerged victorious 2-1. Other encounters have seen both draws and narrow victories, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. It's also worth noting that Real Madrid faced two top-table teams in their last five matches, while Real Betis played against opponents of varying levels.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Real Madrid has an average total of 3 goals per game, and Real Betis 3.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. In terms of halves, Real Madrid had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Real Betis similarly had over 1.5 goals twice in both halves. Real Madrid scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.4 goals per game, while Real Betis scores 2.4 and concedes 1.2. In terms of goal intervals: Real Madrid most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (44%). Real Betis scores most frequently between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (38% each), and concedes most often in the 31-45 minute range (45%). All this suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match where both teams are likely to score, with the movement on totals supported by over 2.5 goals and second-half activity. It makes the most sense to bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.52, as both teams have recently shown a tendency for high goal counts and regular overs.

Corner Totals Analysis

Real Madrid averages 7 corners per game, Real Betis 5.4. For over 9.5 corners: Real Madrid has seen this in 3 out of 5 games, Real Betis in 4 out of 5. The line closest to their combined average (12.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is at 2.46, under 11.5 at 1.48. Real Madrid is favored in corner outcomes with odds at 1.13. Under these conditions, it's logical to expect active wing play and a high number of set-pieces, especially from Real Madrid. It's also notable that Real Madrid has seen over 9.5 corners in three of their last five matches, and Real Betis in four out of five. This supports the trend of high corner counts in their meetings, making a bet on over 11.5 corners appealing for those interested in statistical markets.