Prediction for match Real Madrid — Real Sociedad

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In La Liga on 14.02.2026, Real Madrid will face Real Sociedad. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Madrid is the favorite: their victory is offered at 1.39, a draw at 5.69, and Real Sociedad's success at 8.20. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Real Madrid 70.73%, draw 17.28%, Real Sociedad 11.99%. These figures reflect a clear advantage for the Madrid team, which is confirmed by the statistics of recent meetings.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Madrid has averaged 58.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Real Sociedad averages 44.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Madrid defeated Valencia 2-0 (08.02.2026), beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 (01.02.2026), and lost to Benfica 2-4 (28.01.2026). Real Sociedad won against Athletic Bilbao 1-0 (11.02.2026), overcame Elche 3-1 (07.02.2026), and defeated Alaves 3-2 (04.02.2026). The last head-to-head match took place on 13.09.2025 and ended with a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid on Real Sociedad's field.

Goal Scoring Trends

Real Madrid averages 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over 5 matches, with an overall scoring rate of 4 goals per game. Real Sociedad averages 2.2 goals scored, 1 conceded, and 3.2 goals per game. In five matches, both teams had over 2.5 total goals in 3 instances, and under 2.5 in 2. By halves, Real Madrid had over 1.5 total goals twice in the first half and five times in the second half. Real Sociedad had over 1.5 total goals twice in the first half and twice in the second half. By intervals, Real Madrid most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Real Sociedad scores most often between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (30% each). Regarding goals conceded, Real Madrid's most vulnerable period is 46-60 minutes (38%), while Real Sociedad's vulnerable periods are 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). The combined goal statistics and the frequency of over 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams suggest considering a bet on over 2.75 total goals. The odds for this outcome are 1.50.

Corner Totals Analysis

Real Madrid averages 7.6 corners per match, while Real Sociedad averages 3.4. In their last five matches, Real Madrid had over 9.5 total corners 5 times, while Real Sociedad had it only once. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.55, and for under 9.5 corners, 2.23. For corner outcomes, Real Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.23. Given the high average of corner kicks by the Madrid team and the frequency of over 9.5 total corners, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems logical.