Prediction for match Real Madrid — Sevilla, 20.12.2025

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In La Liga on December 20, Real Madrid will face Sevilla. The odds for the match outcome are as follows: a win for Real Madrid is priced at 1.25, a draw at 6.96, and a win for Sevilla at 13.90. The probabilities are distributed as: 78.77% for a Real Madrid win, 14.15% for a draw, and 7.08% for a Sevilla win. Real Madrid is clearly favored, but the recent form of both teams adds intrigue when analyzing totals and scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Madrid has an average possession of 57%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 8.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Sevilla is quite similar in these metrics: 57.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Madrid defeated Talavera 3-2, beat Alaves 2-1, and lost to Manchester City 1-2. Sevilla lost to Alaves 0-1, thrashed Real Oviedo 4-0, and drew with Valencia 1-1. In their head-to-head on May 18, 2025, Sevilla lost to Real Madrid 0-2.

Goals Statistics

Over the last 5 games, Real Madrid averages a total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per match. Sevilla averages 2.4 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. In five matches, Real Madrid's total over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, while Sevilla's occurred 2 out of 5. In the first half, Real Madrid had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Sevilla in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Real Madrid saw over 1.5 goals in 3 instances, Sevilla in 4. Both teams most frequently score in the 76-90 minute interval, at 50%. In terms of conceding, Real Madrid is most vulnerable between 31-45 minutes (42%), while Sevilla between 46-60 (50%). Considering Real Madrid's strong over-profile on totals, frequent over 2.5 hits, and both teams' second-half activity, a bet on the second half total over 1.5 at 1.55 is logical.

Corner Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Real Madrid averages 7.2 corners, Sevilla 7. For totals over 9.5 corners: both teams hit over in 3 out of 5 matches. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.56, under 9.5 are 2.34. The line also offers a win on corners for Real Madrid at 1.11. Given the high averages for both teams and frequent over 9.5 hits, a bet on corners over looks justified.