Prediction for match Real Sociedad — Athletic Club

Match Preview

On March 4th, in the Copa del Rey, Real Sociedad will face Athletic Club. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Sociedad is favored to win with odds of 2.26, a draw is priced at 3.36, and an Athletic Club victory is at 3.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 42.86% for a Real Sociedad win, 28.83% for a draw, and 28.32% for an Athletic Club win. This suggests a slight edge for Real Sociedad, but Athletic Club is not a clear underdog according to the bookmakers. The match promises to be high-scoring, considering the teams' goal-scoring profiles and totals.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's take a look at the recent performances of both teams. In their last five matches, Real Sociedad has the following results: February 28, 2026 - Mallorca vs Real Sociedad - 0-1, February 21, 2026 - Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo - 3-3, February 14, 2026 - Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - 4-1. Athletic Club's recent matches are: February 28, 2026 - Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club - 1-1, February 20, 2026 - Athletic Club vs Elche - 2-1, February 15, 2026 - Real Oviedo vs Athletic Club - 1-2. In their head-to-head on February 11, 2026, Athletic Club lost to Real Sociedad 0-1. Over the last five matches, Real Sociedad has an average possession rate of 50.6%, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 15.2, offsides - 1.4. Athletic Club has an average possession of 48.8%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 16.8, offsides - 1.8. These figures reflect a competitive and intense battle with both teams applying pressure.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club

Both teams have shown a high-scoring profile: Real Sociedad averages 3.4 goals per match, while Athletic Club averages 3.0. In the last five games, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Real Sociedad had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and once in the second, whereas Athletic Club had it once in the first half and three times in the second. This indicates that both teams are capable of stepping up after the break. Individually, both score an average of 1.8 goals per game, with Real Sociedad conceding 1.6 and Athletic Club 1.2. In the 76-90 minute interval, both teams score the most: 30% for Real Sociedad and 38% for Athletic Club. Real Sociedad concedes most frequently between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (29% each), while Athletic Club concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (43%). This scoring profile supports the choice of a bet on over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.58. Expecting at least two goals is reasonable given the recent match statistics and goal distribution by halves.

Corner Bets

Real Sociedad averages 5.2 corners per game, while Athletic Club averages 3.8. In the last five matches, Real Sociedad's over 9.5 corners bet came through 3 times, while Athletic Club's did not come through at all. Looking at the odds, for a total corners of 9.5, both options are priced the same: over 9.5 is at 1.98, and under 9.5 is also at 1.98. For the corners outcome, Real Sociedad is favored with odds of 1.90. Considering the average total corners (9 per game combined), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially if the teams push forward in the second half. It's also worth considering individual corner totals for Real Sociedad, given their consistent average of over 5 per game.