Prediction for match Real Sociedad — Barcelona, 18.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

In La Liga on January 18, 2026, Real Sociedad will face Barcelona. According to the 1X2 odds, Barcelona is the favorite with a win odds of 1.60 and a calculated probability of 61.63%. A draw is offered at 4.88 (20.21%), while a Real Sociedad win is at 5.43 (18.16%). This reflects analysts' confidence in Barcelona's advantage, but Real Sociedad can pose a challenge given their recent performances. The match promises to be exciting with both teams playing attacking football.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the recent performances of both teams. In their last three matches, Real Sociedad defeated Osasuna 6-5 on January 13, beat Getafe 2-1 on January 9, and drew 1-1 with Atletico Madrid on January 4. Barcelona, in their last three matches, won 2-0 against Racing Santander on January 15, secured a comeback victory over Real Madrid 3-2 on January 11, and thrashed Athletic Bilbao 5-0 on January 7. In their head-to-head on September 28, 2025, Barcelona was victorious 2-1. Over a five-match span, Real Sociedad averages 57.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides per game. Barcelona shows a very high possession rate of 74.6%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and also records 2.2 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, both teams come into the match with decent figures. Over a five-match stretch, Real Sociedad averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Barcelona boasts even higher numbers: 3.2 goals on average per game, scoring 2.8 and conceding just 0.4. For over 2.5 total goals, Real Sociedad saw 3 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals, while Barcelona had 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded once for Real Sociedad and twice for Barcelona. In the second half, Real Sociedad played 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Barcelona 2 out of 5. Regarding scoring intervals, Real Sociedad most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (67%), while Barcelona scores most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). Both teams tend to concede goals late in the game (76-90 minutes, 38% each). Considering Barcelona's high scoring and Real Sociedad's stable performance, betting on over 3.0 goals at 1.56 seems justified. The average goals scored by both teams and the frequency of over totals by halves support this choice.

Corner Bets

For average corners over 5 matches, Real Sociedad averages 5.8, while Barcelona averages 7.4. In a five-match series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Real Sociedad and 5 times for Barcelona. For a total corner bet, with a line of 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 at 1.62, under 9.5 at 2.22. Barcelona is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.65. Given both teams' high activity in corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Barcelona consistently delivers many corners, and Real Sociedad also maintains a high pace in this aspect.