Prediction for match Real Sociedad — Celta, 25.01.2026

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Celta

In La Liga on January 25, Real Sociedad will face Celta. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Sociedad is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.06, a draw at 3.58, and a Celta win at 3.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Real Sociedad - 47.78%, draw - 27.49%, Celta - 24.73%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.11, and for under - 1.84. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.82, no - 1.90. Real Sociedad's individual total over 1.5 is priced at 2.07, and the same for Celta is at 3.10. The option for over 2.0 total goals is at 1.51. For the second half over 1.5 goals, the odds are 2.26. This range of odds suggests expectations of goals from both sides, but with a slight edge for Real Sociedad.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Real Sociedad shows 50.8% ball possession, averages 2 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls and 2.8 offsides per game. Celta, over the same period, has 40% possession, records 2.6 yellows, 9.8 fouls and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Sociedad beat Barcelona 2-1 (18.01.2026), had a high-scoring game with Osasuna 6-5 (13.01.2026), and defeated Getafe 2-1 (09.01.2026). Celta in their last three games won against Lille 2-1 (22.01.2026), thrashed Rayo Vallecano 3-0 (18.01.2026), and beat Sevilla 1-0 (12.01.2026). The last head-to-head meeting on October 19, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Real Sociedad hit over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Celta also played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Real Sociedad averages 2.8 goals per match, Celta - 2.4. Real Sociedad scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2, while Celta is highly effective with 2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. By halves, Real Sociedad had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 out of 5 times, Celta 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had only one instance of over 1.5 out of 5. Real Sociedad most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (43%), Celta in the same period (33%). For goals conceded, Real Sociedad's most vulnerable period is 31-45 (29%), Celta's is 76-90 (50%). This trend indicates both teams are inclined towards a productive ending. Considering the frequent over 2.5 goals, high scoring averages, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.11 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In their last 5 matches, Real Sociedad averages 6.6 corners, Celta - 2.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Real Sociedad had 4 out of 5, Celta 2 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (6.6 + 2.8 = 9.4) is the 9.5 line, with both options available: over 9.5 corners at 1.90, under 9.5 at 1.84. For corners outcome, Real Sociedad is favored with odds of 1.41. Considering Real Sociedad's high activity in this metric and frequent over lines in their matches, betting on over 9.5 corners is reasonable. Additionally, Real Sociedad recorded 5 out of 5 over 4.5 offsides, Celta 3 out of 5, which might further affect standard play dynamics.