Prediction for match Real Sociedad — Real Oviedo, 21.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcome

In La Liga on February 21, Real Sociedad will face Real Oviedo. The odds for this match highlight Real Sociedad as the favorite: their win is priced at 1.56, a draw at 4.01, and a win for Real Oviedo at 8.10. According to the probability percentages, there is a 63.23% chance of a Real Sociedad victory, a 24.60% chance of a draw, and a 12.18% chance of a Real Oviedo win. These figures reflect analysts' confidence that Real Sociedad has a good chance of achieving a positive result in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at how the teams have been performing leading up to this match. In their last three matches, Real Sociedad played as follows: on 14.02.2026, Real Madrid defeated Real Sociedad 4-1, on 11.02.2026, Real Sociedad won against Athletic Bilbao 0-1, and on 07.02.2026, Real Sociedad beat Elche 3-1. During the same period, Real Oviedo played these matches: on 15.02.2026, Real Oviedo lost to Athletic Bilbao 1-2, on 31.01.2026, Real Oviedo beat Girona 1-0, and on 25.01.2026, Barcelona defeated Real Oviedo 3-0. In a five-match series, Real Sociedad has an average possession of 46.8%, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 3 offsides. Real Oviedo's stats are: 41.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on 30.08.2025, Real Oviedo defeated Real Sociedad 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Real Sociedad has an average of 3.4 goals per match, while Real Oviedo averages 2.8. Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.8 goals per game and concedes 1.8. In terms of halves, Real Sociedad had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, while in the second half only once. For Real Oviedo, the first half went over 1.5 goals only once, but the second half was more productive, with four out of five over 1.5. In terms of goal intervals, Real Sociedad most often scores between 16-30 minutes (27%) and concedes most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Real Oviedo scores most often between 61-75 minutes (44%) and concedes in the same interval (40%). Overall, both teams tend to play high-scoring matches, and over 2.5 goals looks like a logical choice, considering the 3 out of 5 occurrence for both sides and high average goal stats.

Corner Bets

Real Sociedad averages 4.2 corners per match, and Real Oviedo 3.6. In a series of five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred only once for each team. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the average figures (7.8) is 7.5. The odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.19, and for under 7.5, they are 3.80. For corners outcome, Real Sociedad is the favorite with odds of 1.26. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on a moderate number of corners, as both teams rarely exceed high totals, and the average values do not exceed 8 per game.