Prediction for match Red Bull Salzburg — Sturm Graz

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Austrian Bundesliga match between Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz on May 3, 2026, bookmakers have made Salzburg the favorite. The odds for a Salzburg win are 1.67, a draw is 3.94, and a Sturm Graz victory is 4.64. The probabilities for these outcomes are as follows: Red Bull Salzburg win is estimated at 56.06%, a draw at 23.76%, and a Sturm Graz win at 20.18%. This distribution reflects Salzburg's advantage in attacking potential and goal-scoring statistics, but Sturm Graz shows defensive resilience and can put up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Red Bull Salzburg has an average possession of 53.2%, receives 2 yellow cards per game, commits 9 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. Sturm Graz, in the same period, averages 52.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Salzburg's last three matches ended as follows: 26.04.2026 - Rapid Vienna - Red Bull Salzburg - 1-0, 22.04.2026 - Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Vienna - 3-1, 19.04.2026 - Austria Vienna - Red Bull Salzburg - 1-3. Sturm Graz's results were: 26.04.2026 - Sturm Graz - Austria Vienna - 1-1, 22.04.2026 - Sturm Graz - LASK - 1-1, 19.04.2026 - LASK - Sturm Graz - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 20.03.2026, the teams played to a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz

In their last five games, Red Bull Salzburg has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 matches, while Sturm Graz hasn't reached this total in any. Salzburg's average goals per match over this period is 3.4, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4. Sturm Graz's average total goals per game is 1.6, with 1 scored and 0.6 conceded. Salzburg has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Sturm Graz hasn't seen over 1.5 goals in the first half but has in the second half 2 times out of 5. Salzburg most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while Sturm Graz scores most often late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (67%). Salzburg concedes most frequently in three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (22% each), while 60% of Sturm Graz's conceded goals occur between the 46th and 60th minutes. Considering Salzburg's high scoring and Sturm's solid defense, a logical bet is on both teams to score: yes at 1.52. Salzburg has an attacking profile, while Sturm has a strong defense, but they still concede regularly, and Salzburg consistently scores at home. The fact that Salzburg averages 2 goals per game and Sturm 1 supports the both teams to score bet, as both teams have specific intervals when they are most dangerous in front of the opponent's goal.

Corner Bets

Red Bull Salzburg averages 4.6 corners per game, while Sturm Graz averages 5. Over the last five matches, Salzburg has had over 9.5 corners only once, whereas Sturm has surpassed this total 4 times out of 5. The total corners line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.85, and under 9.5 at 1.83. Salzburg is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.42. In this match, a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical given both teams' activity in delivering corners, especially Sturm. It's also worth noting that Salzburg often earns corners through dominant possession, while Sturm can maintain the pace with their flank deliveries. In their last five matches, Sturm Graz consistently hits high corner numbers, making the bet on the over total appealing.