Prediction for match Red Star — Bastia

Match Preview

In Ligue 2, Red Star faces Bastia on 11.04.2026. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Red Star to win is at 2.18, a draw is at 3.20, and Bastia to win is at 3.38. In terms of probability, Red Star has a 42.99% chance, a draw is at 29.29%, and Bastia has a 27.73% chance. With these figures, Red Star is considered the favorite, although the gap is not overwhelming. The under 2.5 goals line is favored at 1.54, indicating a low-scoring game is expected. The odds for both teams to score are: no at 1.70, yes at 2.03, suggesting a cautious affair.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Red Star's results were: 03.04.2026 - Red Star vs Laval - 0-0, 20.03.2026 - Clermont Foot vs Red Star - 0-1, 14.03.2026 - Red Star vs Dunkerque - 1-0. Over the same period, Bastia's results were: 03.04.2026 - Bastia vs Amiens - 1-1, 20.03.2026 - Rodez vs Bastia - 1-1, 13.03.2026 - Bastia vs Boulogne - 0-1. In their most recent head-to-head on 21.02.2025, Bastia defeated Red Star 1-0. Additional metrics over five games: Red Star maintains 55.4% possession, averages 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. Bastia has 55% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These numbers indicate a fairly disciplined play from both teams, with a slight edge in discipline for Red Star.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Red Star's average goals per match is 0.8, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.4 per game. Bastia's average total goals is 2.2, with 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Red Star had 0 out of 5 matches, Bastia had 1 out of 5. In the first half, Red Star had 0 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, Bastia had 4 out of 5. In the second half, Red Star had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Bastia had none. Goal intervals: Red Star scores most frequently between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes exclusively between 61-75 minutes (100%). Bastia scores between 16-30 minutes (50%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (43%). This confirms the low-scoring nature of Red Star's matches and Bastia's moderate scoring. The under 2.5 goals bet looks logical based on these stats.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Red Star averages 6.4 corners in their last five matches, Bastia averages 4. For over 9.5 corners: Red Star had 4 out of 5 matches, Bastia had 2 out of 5. The corner total closest to the average sum (6.4 + 4 = 10.4) is the 9.5 line, with odds for over 9.5 at 2.09 and under 9.5 at 1.66. Considering the average corner activity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given Red Star's high frequency. Red Star is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.74. Both teams consistently win corners, but Red Star does so more frequently.