Prediction for match Red Star — Boulogne

Match Analysis: Red Star vs Boulogne

On January 24th, in France's Ligue 2, Red Star will face Boulogne. According to the 1X2 odds, Red Star is the favorite with odds of 1.88, a draw is priced at 3.38, and a victory for Boulogne is at 4.18. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Red Star - 49.85%, draw - 27.73%, Boulogne - 22.42%. This setup reflects the bookmakers' expectations of Red Star's advantage, but a draw is not out of the question considering the balance of power. The over/under goal options are: Over 2.5 at 2.19, Under 2.5 at 1.65, both teams to score: yes - 1.97, no - 1.75.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Red Star defeated Grenoble 3-0 (17.01.2026), lost to Troyes 0-1 (03.01.2026), and drew with Reims 0-0 (13.12.2025). Boulogne in their last three games won against Montpellier 1-0 (16.01.2026), lost to Guingamp 0-3 (03.01.2026), and lost to Troyes 1-2 (15.12.2025). In their head-to-head on September 29, 2025, Boulogne lost to Red Star 1-2. In secondary statistics over a five-game stretch, Red Star averages 55% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Boulogne, by the same metrics, has 40.2% possession, 2.2 yellows, 13.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. This indicates a tougher play style from Boulogne and less ball control compared to Red Star.

Goal Statistics

In terms of totals over the last 5 games, Red Star had 2 games go over 2.5 and 3 under, while Boulogne had 3 over and 2 under. On average, Red Star scores 1 goal and concedes 0.6, while Boulogne scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. The overall average total goals in 5 matches is 1.6 for Red Star and 2.6 for Boulogne. By halves, only 1 of Red Star's 5 matches went over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Boulogne had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. As for goal intervals, Red Star most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute ranges (33% each), while Boulogne scores in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute ranges (30% each). Red Star concedes most often in the 16-30 minute range (40%), while Boulogne concedes evenly at 25% in four different intervals. Based on this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems justified: Red Star has low scoring, and Boulogne has an average goal profile, but not an overly high-scoring one.

Corners Betting

Red Star averages 3.8 corners per match, Boulogne - 5.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 total corners, Red Star has 2 out of 5, Boulogne - 4 out of 5. Among the corners markets, the total closest to the average values is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is priced at 2.06, under 9.5 at 1.66. In terms of corners outcome, Red Star is the favorite with odds of 1.58. Given Boulogne's corner statistics and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5, especially if the game sees active wing play from both teams. It's also worth noting that Boulogne regularly exceeds the 5 corners mark per match, while Red Star consistently stays around 4. This could lead to high activity in this metric.