Prediction for match Red Star — Nancy

Match Analysis: Red Star vs Nancy

In Ligue 2 France on February 13, 2026, Red Star will face Nancy. The odds for a Red Star victory are 1.98, a draw is at 3.30, and a win for Nancy is rated at 3.86. In terms of probability, Red Star has a 47.33% chance of winning, a draw is at 28.40%, and Nancy's victory is at 24.28%. Bookmakers see Red Star as the more likely winner, but the gap between the teams isn't significant. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the balance of power, as both teams have their strengths.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Red Star has had an average possession of 57.4%, received 1.8 cautions, committed 11.6 fouls, and was caught offside 1.8 times per game. During the same period, Nancy has shown 39.8% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and was caught offside 3.4 times per match. In their last three games, Red Star played as follows: February 6, 2026 - Red Star vs Pau - 0-3, January 30, 2026 - Rodez vs Red Star - 1-1, January 24, 2026 - Red Star vs Boulogne - 2-2. Nancy's last three matches: February 7, 2026 - Nancy vs Troyes - 2-1, January 30, 2026 - Bastia vs Nancy - 0-0, January 23, 2026 - Nancy vs Rodez - 1-3. In their last head-to-head on September 19, 2025, Nancy lost to Red Star 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Red Star's average total goals are 2.6, while Nancy's is 2.0. Red Star scores 1.2 and Nancy 0.6, with both teams conceding 1.4 goals per game. In the last five matches, Red Star has gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Nancy has similarly gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. For half-time totals, Red Star exceeded 1.5 goals only once in the first half and three times in the second half. Nancy exceeded 1.5 goals once in the first half and twice in the second half. Red Star most often scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), while Nancy spreads its scoring between 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Defensively, Red Star concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (44%), and Nancy in the closing stages, from 76 to 90 minutes (43%). Given that both teams have gone over 2.5 goals three times in the last five matches and Red Star's average total goals are notably higher, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.57 seems logical. Although Nancy's scoring stats are modest, the defenses of both teams are not reliable, increasing the likelihood of two or more goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Red Star averages 5 corners per match, while Nancy averages 3.8. In the last five encounters, both teams have gone over 9.5 corners twice. Considering the totals, the line for over 8.5 corners at 1.59, under 8.5 at 2.13, seems closest to the average sum (8.8). Red Star is the favorite in the corner market with odds of 1.68. In this matchup, around 9 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, given both teams' averages. It's also worth noting that Nancy has recorded more than four offsides in four out of five matches, indicating an attacking tendency and potential set-piece opportunities.