Prediction for match Reims — Bastia

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In France's Ligue 2, a match between Reims and Bastia is scheduled for February 6th. The odds for a Reims victory are set at 1.66, a draw at 3.56, and a Bastia win at 5.42. Probability-wise: Reims has a 56.42% chance, a draw is at 26.31%, and Bastia at 17.28%. Reims is the favorite according to both the odds and percentages, which is also supported by the recent form of both teams. This matchup is intriguing not only due to the difference in chances but also because of the current form of the opponents.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Reims shows a 54.8% possession rate, records 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Bastia stands out with a higher number of warnings (3.6), fouls (18), and possession at 56.8%, but they have only 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Reims defeated Le Mans 3-0 (03.02.2026), Clermont Foot 1-0 (30.01.2026), and Saint-Étienne 1-0 (24.01.2026). Bastia drew 0-0 with Nancy (30.01.2026), lost to Montpellier 0-2 (23.01.2026), and defeated Laval 2-0 (16.01.2026). In their head-to-head on November 7, 2025, Bastia lost to Reims 1-3.

Goal Scoring Trends

On average, Reims scores 1.2 goals and concedes 0.4 over the last 5 matches, with a total of 1.6 goals per game. Bastia's figures are lower: 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded, and 1.4 goals per game. For matches exceeding 2.5 goals, Reims has 2 out of 5, while Bastia has 0 out of 5. In the first half, Reims exceeded 1.5 goals only once in five matches, and Bastia did not do so at all. In the second half, Reims exceeded 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, and Bastia in 2 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: Reims often scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while Bastia scores exclusively in the 31st-45th minute (100%). Reims concedes most frequently in the last 15 minutes (76th-90th, 100%), while Bastia's most frequent concessions are between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Overall, both teams tend to play low-scoring games, especially Bastia, where over 2.5 goals have not occurred in any of the 5 matches. In this scenario, a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.66 seems logical, considering the average scoring rates and frequency of unders.

Corner Totals Analysis

Reims earns an average of 5 corners per match, while Bastia averages 3.6. For matches exceeding 9.5 corners, Reims has 2 out of 5, and Bastia has 0 out of 5. Considering the corner total of 9.5, the odds for over are 2.03, and for under are 1.65. Reims is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.50. Overall, both teams do not lean towards high corner counts, especially Bastia, which has not exceeded the 9.5 total in any of the last 5 matches. A bet on under 9.5 corners seems reasonable, given the average figures and frequency of occurrences.