Prediction for match Remo — Bahia

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A, Remo takes on Bahia on March 22. According to the 1X2 odds, Bahia is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.12, implying a 45.27% chance. A draw is at 3.22 (29.80%), while a Remo victory is at 3.85 (24.93%). The odds and probabilities suggest higher expectations for Bahia, but the gap between a draw and a Bahia win isn't huge, adding intrigue to the betting choices. Markets for total goals, both teams to score, individual stats, and corners are also available, but the main focus is on Bahia's advantage based on current form and recent results.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Remo has an average possession of 41.8%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Bahia shows 60.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.2 offsides on average per match. In their last three games, Remo lost to Flamengo 0-3 (19.03), was defeated by Coritiba 0-1 (15.03), and lost at home to Fluminense 0-2 (12.03). Bahia, in their last three outings, defeated RB Bragantino 2-0 (18.03), won against Internacional 1-0 (15.03), and drew with Vitoria 1-1 (11.03). In their five-match streak, Bahia also had a high-scoring draw 5-5 with O'Higgins (25.02) and a narrow 0-1 loss to O'Higgins (18.02). The teams have not met this season.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Remo's games have averaged 2.8 goals, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 2 goals per match. Bahia, in the same period, averages 1.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding just 0.6. For matches over 2.5 goals, Remo had 2 out of 5 games end with three or more goals, while Bahia had only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Remo had 2 out of 5, and Bahia 3 out of 5. In the second half, Remo had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Bahia had none in five games. Remo's most frequent scoring interval is the 16-30 minute mark (38%), while Bahia often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Remo is most vulnerable to conceding between 76-90 minutes (33%), while Bahia concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 (33% each). Given Bahia's low scoring and the low number of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems sensible. Average goals scored and conceded also support a cautious approach to totals.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Remo averages 5.4 corners per match, while Bahia averages 5. For matches with over 9.5 corners, Remo had 4 out of 5 games end with this outcome, and Bahia had 2 out of 5. Available corner totals include "over 9.5" (1.52) and "under 9.5" (2.27), which is close to the combined average corners of both teams (10.4). For corner outcomes, Bahia is favored with odds of 1.66. Considering both teams' corner stats and Remo's frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly deliver at least 5 corners per match, which could influence the dynamic in this metric.