Prediction for match Remo — Vasco da Gama

Match Analysis: Remo vs Vasco da Gama

In Brazil's Serie A on April 11, Remo faces Vasco da Gama. The odds for a Vasco da Gama win are 2.37, for a Remo victory - 3.06, and for a draw - 3.42. According to probabilities, Vasco da Gama is given a 40.53% chance, Remo - 31.39%, and a draw - 28.08%. Vasco da Gama is the favorite based on odds and percentages, but the gap between the teams isn't significant. The most likely outcome according to bookmakers is a win for Vasco da Gama, but a draw also has notable support in terms of percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the teams' performance over the last five matches. Remo averages 42% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Vasco da Gama shows 50% possession, 1.8 yellows, 9.8 fouls, and also 1.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Remo played as follows: April 5 - Gremio vs Remo - 0-0, April 2 - Santos vs Remo - 2-0, March 22 - Remo vs Bahia - 4-1. Vasco da Gama's last three matches were: April 7 - Barracas Central vs Vasco da Gama - 0-0, April 5 - Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo - 1-2, April 1 - Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on November 19, 2021, Vasco da Gama and Remo ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Remo's average number of goals per match is 2.2, while Vasco da Gama's is 2.6. Remo scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4, whereas Vasco da Gama scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. In the last five matches, Remo had two over 2.5 goals and three under, and Vasco da Gama had three over and two under. In terms of halves, both teams had only one match out of five with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and both had two matches with over 1.5 in the second half. Remo most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Vasco da Gama scores late, from the 76th to the 90th minute (43%). Remo most often concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%), while Vasco da Gama's concessions are evenly distributed throughout. Considering both teams' average scoring, the frequency of over 2.5 goals, and half-time support, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.99 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Remo averages 4 corners, and Vasco da Gama 3.4 per match. In the last five games, Remo had four matches with over 9.5 corners, and Vasco da Gama had two. Among the corner totals, the lines closest to the average sum (7.4) are 7.5 and 8.5. For the 9.5 total, both outcomes are possible: over 9.5 is at 1.50, under 9.5 at 2.31. In corner outcomes, Vasco da Gama is the favorite with odds of 1.85. Considering Remo's frequency of overs and the close average figures, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.