Prediction for match Rennes — Toulouse

Match Analysis: Rennes vs Toulouse

On February 28th in Ligue 1, Rennes will face Toulouse. According to the 1X2 odds, a Rennes victory is priced at 2.16, a draw at 3.60, and a Toulouse win at 3.62. The implied probabilities are as follows: Rennes 45.52%, draw 27.31%, Toulouse 27.16%. This suggests that bookmakers favor Rennes, but the gap between the teams is not significant, promising an intriguing contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Rennes recorded the following results: 22.02.2026 Auxerre 0-3 Rennes, 13.02.2026 Rennes 3-1 PSG, 07.02.2026 Lens 3-1 Rennes. Toulouse's last three games ended as follows: 21.02.2026 Toulouse 1-1 Paris FC, 15.02.2026 Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse, 08.02.2026 Angers 1-0 Toulouse. In their head-to-head match on 29.10.2025, Toulouse and Rennes drew 2-2. Additional statistics over the last five matches show Rennes with 48.6% possession, averaging 2.4 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Toulouse has higher possession at 55.8%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1 offside per game. These figures indicate that Toulouse controls the ball more often, but both teams are similar in terms of fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Match

In their last five matches, Rennes has shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games: all 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2 on average. Toulouse, on the other hand, had only 1 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, with an average of 1.4 total goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. For Rennes, 2 out of 5 games had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 4 out of 5 in the second half. For Toulouse, only 1 out of 5 games had over 1.5 goals in the first half, with none in the second half. Rennes most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (31% each), while Toulouse scores most often at the end of the first and second halves (31-45 and 76-90 minutes, 40% each). Rennes concedes most frequently between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Toulouse concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 100%). Considering the high scoring nature of Rennes' matches and the low scoring of Toulouse's, along with Rennes' 5 out of 5 over 2.5 goals and Toulouse's only 1 out of 5, betting on under 2.5 total goals at odds of 2.01 seems optimal.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Rennes averages 3.8 corners per game over 5 matches, while Toulouse averages 7.6. In their last five games, Rennes had over 9.5 total corners once, and Toulouse three times. Looking at the corners line for 9.5, the odds are 1.82 for over and 1.88 for under. Rennes is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.67. Given Toulouse's high average number of corners and Rennes' relatively low number, betting on over 9.5 total corners or Toulouse's individual total corners over could be worthwhile.