Prediction for match Rio Ave — Arouca, 31.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on January 31, Rio Ave will face Arouca. The main odds for the outcomes are as follows: Rio Ave win at 2.67, Arouca win at 2.94, and a draw at 3.16. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Rio Ave - 36.32%, draw - 30.69%, Arouca - 32.99%. The odds indicate that Rio Ave has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is small, making the outcome hard to predict with certainty. The bookmakers' expectations reflect a balance of power, as both teams are capable of putting up a fight and contending for points.

Team Results and Statistics

Rio Ave's last three matches were: January 25, 2026 - Nacional - Rio Ave - 4-0, January 17, 2026 - Rio Ave - Benfica - 0-2, January 4, 2026 - Rio Ave - Casa Pia - 3-1. Arouca's last three results were: January 24, 2026 - Arouca - Sporting Lisbon - 1-2, January 17, 2026 - ABC - Arouca - 0-1, January 3, 2026 - Tondela - Arouca - 3-1. On average over the last five games, Rio Ave holds possession 45.6% of the time, records 1.4 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match. Arouca maintains possession 52.6% of the time, receives 3.4 yellows, commits 11.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. The last head-to-head meeting was on August 23, 2025, ending in a 3-3 draw between Arouca and Rio Ave.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Rio Ave averages a total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 2.6. Arouca averages 2.4 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Rio Ave has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Arouca has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Rio Ave has 4 out of 5 over, and Arouca 1 out of 5. Rio Ave most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (31%), while Arouca scores most often in the first 15 minutes (50%). For conceded goals, Rio Ave is most vulnerable between the 16th and 30th minute (40%), while Arouca is most vulnerable at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 50%). Considering these data and the high frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.06 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Rio Ave averages 3.8 corners per match, Arouca 4.8. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times for Rio Ave and 3 times for Arouca. The closest to the average sum is a total corners of 9.5. The odds for this total are: over 9.5 - 1.80, under 9.5 - 1.88. For the outcome on corners, Rio Ave is favored with odds of 2.02. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.