Prediction for match Rio Ave — Famalicao

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The clash between Rio Ave and Famalicao in the Primeira Liga is scheduled for March 1, 2026. According to the odds: a win for Famalicao is priced at 1.95, a draw at 3.66, and a victory for Rio Ave at 4.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Famalicao - 49.79%, draw - 26.53%, Rio Ave - 23.68%. Famalicao is the favorite in this matchup, but the goal and total statistics of both teams deserve special attention. The line also offers options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for an interesting bet based on recent streaks.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rio Ave has an average possession of 49.2%, records 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Famalicao shows 52.6% possession, 1.8 yellows, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside per match. In Rio Ave's last three encounters: 22.02.2026 - Porto vs. Rio Ave - 1-0, 16.02.2026 - Rio Ave vs. Moreirense - 1-2, 08.02.2026 - Braga vs. Rio Ave - 3-0. For Famalicao: 23.02.2026 - Famalicao vs. Casa Pia - 2-0, 15.02.2026 - Sporting Lisbon vs. Famalicao - 1-0, 09.02.2026 - Famalicao vs. ABC - 3-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 28.09.2025: Famalicao vs. Rio Ave - 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Rio Ave's last five matches, the average number of goals per game is 2.8, with the team scoring only 0.2 and conceding 2.6. Famalicao in the same period shows 3 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Rio Ave has 4 out of 5 matches over, Famalicao has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, Rio Ave has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Famalicao has 0 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 3 out of 5 over 1.5. In terms of goal intervals: Rio Ave most frequently scores between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Famalicao scores most often between 76-90 minutes (43%). For goals conceded: Rio Ave most often concedes between 46 and 60 minutes (40%), and for Famalicao, this same interval is 100%. Thus, both teams tend to have productive endings, and over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice, considering the frequency of overs and average goal stats. This is further supported by the fact that only one of Rio Ave's last five matches was under, while Famalicao saw over 2.5 goals in three matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for both teams is the same - 3.8 per game over the last five matches. For over 9.5 corners, Rio Ave has 4 out of 5 over, Famalicao has 2 out of 5 over. Among corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values is 7.5, but it lacks a pair of odds, whereas for 9.5 there are both options: total corners over 9.5 - 1.71, under 9.5 - 1.99. For corner outcomes, Famalicao is considered the favorite with odds of 1.58. Given that both teams regularly deliver 3-4 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Rio Ave's frequency of overs.