Prediction for match Rizespor — Samsunspor

Match Analysis: Rizespor vs Samsunspor

In the Turkish Süper Lig on April 9, 2026, Rizespor will face Samsunspor. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Rizespor is priced at 2.40, a draw at 3.51, and a win for Samsunspor at 3.03. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Rizespor - 40.39%, Draw - 27.62%, Samsunspor - 31.99%. The most likely outcome is considered to be a success for Rizespor, but the percentage gap between the teams is not very large. Options for total goals: over 2.5 is priced at 1.94, under 2.5 also at 1.94. For both teams to score: yes is at 1.68, no at 2.06. Among individual totals: Rizespor over 1 goal is at 1.48, Samsunspor over 1 goal is at 1.72. The option for total goals in the second half over 1.5 is priced at 2.10. For double chance X2 on Samsunspor, the odds are 1.61. Exact score options: 1-1 - 6.00, 1-0 - 8.00, 2-1 - 9.00, 0-1 - 9.00, 1-2 - 10.00, 2-0 - 11.00.

Recent Team Performances

In their last five matches, Rizespor has shown the following stats: possession - 49.2%, average yellow cards - 2, fouls - 15.4, offsides - 1.8. Samsunspor has higher possession - 58.6%, yellow cards - 3.6, fouls - 14.2, offsides - 1.2. In their last three matches, Rizespor lost to Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 (05.04.2026), lost to Trabzonspor 0-1 (14.03.2026), and defeated Antalyaspor 1-0 (08.03.2026). Samsunspor drew with Konyaspor 2-2 (05.04.2026), beat Rayo Vallecano 1-0 (19.03.2026), and won against Kayserispor 2-1 (15.03.2026). The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on October 27, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Rizespor's average goals per match over the last 5 games is 2, with the team scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6. Samsunspor plays in more high-scoring matches: an average of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8. In the last 5 matches, Rizespor had over 2.5 goals in 2 games, under in 3. For Samsunspor, 4 out of 5 matches went over 2.5, 1 under. By halves, Rizespor had no matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Samsunspor had 3 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Rizespor scores most frequently in the 0-15 (33%) and 46-60 (33%) minutes, Samsunspor in the 76-90 (44%) minute interval. For goals conceded: Rizespor concedes evenly across four intervals (16-30, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90 - 25% each), Samsunspor most often concedes early (0-15 - 22%, 16-30 - 22%) and late (76-90 - 22%). Considering Samsunspor's regular involvement in high-scoring matches and Rizespor's average goal metrics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.94 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Rizespor averages 3.2 corners per game, Samsunspor - 4.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Rizespor has 1 out of 5, Samsunspor - 4 out of 5. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (8) is 8.5. Over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.51, under 8.5 at 2.29. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 - 1.89, under 9.5 - 1.79. For the outcome on corners, Rizespor is the favorite with odds of 1.80. Considering Samsunspor's frequent high corner totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners, and also pay attention to Samsunspor's activity in this aspect.