Prediction for match Rodez — Bastia

Match Analysis: Rodez vs Bastia

In Ligue 2 on March 20, Rodez will face Bastia. The odds for a Rodez win are 2.54, for a Bastia victory 2.64, and a draw is priced at 3.34. The probability breakdown is: Rodez - 36.73%, draw - 27.93%, Bastia - 35.34%. The odds reflect a closely matched contest, but Rodez has a slight edge according to the bookmakers. Both teams have comparable chances, and the match outcome might be decided by small details.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the teams' performances over the last five matches. Rodez averages 40% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Bastia's stats are: 52.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Rodez beat Reims 2-1 (14.03.2026), defeated Grenoble 1-0 (06.03.2026), and drew with Guingamp 0-0 (28.02.2026). Bastia lost to Boulogne 0-1 (13.03.2026), drew with Pau 2-2 (06.03.2026), and lost to Annecy 0-2 (27.02.2026). Their last head-to-head was on September 23, 2025: Bastia - Rodez 2-3.

Goals Prediction for Rodez vs Bastia

Based on the last five games, Rodez has an average total goals of 1.6, while Bastia has 1.8. Rodez scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 0.4 per match, while Bastia scores 0.6 and concedes 1.2. Rodez has gone over 2.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, and Bastia only once. In the first half, Rodez went over 1.5 goals once in five, Bastia three times. In the second half, Rodez went over 1.5 goals once, Bastia none. Rodez scores evenly across quarters: 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Bastia is most effective between 31-45 minutes (40%). Rodez concedes mostly at the end (76-90, 75%), Bastia at the start (0-15 and 16-30, 33% each). Overall, both teams do not show a strong over-profile, and average goal stats suggest a low-scoring trend. The optimal bet is on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76.

Corner Totals Analysis

Rodez averages 5.8 corners per match, and Bastia 5.2. In the last five matches, Rodez went over 9.5 corners three times, Bastia once. Considering a 9.5 corner total, Rodez has 3 out of 5 over, Bastia 1 out of 5. Based on this, Rodez is expected to be more active in wing play. Overall, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical given the teams' averages and Rodez's frequency of overs.