Prediction for match São Bernardo — Operario

Match Analysis: São Bernardo vs Operario

In Brazil's Serie B on April 2, São Bernardo will face Operario. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for São Bernardo is priced at 2.30, a draw at 2.98, and a win for Operario at 3.30. In terms of probabilities: São Bernardo - 40.51%, draw - 31.26%, Operario - 28.23%. São Bernardo has a slight edge according to the odds, but the difference isn't significant, and bookmakers are considering a fairly high chance of a draw. The match is expected to be closely contested, with no clear dominance from either side, as reflected in the percentages and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, São Bernardo had an average possession of 43.4%, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 12 fouls, and were caught offside 1.8 times per game. Operario, in the same period, had 41.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides on average. In their last three matches, São Bernardo played as follows: 21.03.2026 Ceara - São Bernardo 1-1, 17.03.2026 São Bernardo - Ceara 2-3, 15.02.2026 São Bernardo - Corinthians 0-1. Operario's last three matches were: 21.03.2026 Operario - Atletico Goianiense 1-0, 18.03.2026 Londrina - Operario 0-1, 23.11.2025 Operario - Ferroviaria 2-1. In the head-to-head match on 08.10.2023, Operario defeated São Bernardo 1-0. In previous encounters, on 03.09.2023 São Bernardo won 2-1, and on 06.08.2023 Operario was stronger with a 1-0 victory.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, São Bernardo averaged 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. Operario's average was slightly higher at 1.8, with 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: São Bernardo had only 1 out of 5, while Operario had 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams in 5 matches, while in the second half, São Bernardo had no over 1.5 occurrences, and Operario had 2 out of 5. São Bernardo most frequently scores in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Operario scores mainly at the end (76-90 minutes, 40%). São Bernardo concedes evenly across quarters, while Operario concedes half of their goals between 16-30 minutes. Overall, neither team shows high scoring capability, and over 1.5 goals seems the optimal choice: odds at 1.50. A bet on over 2.5 goals seems risky, given the low hit rates and average totals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

São Bernardo averages 2.8 corners per match, while Operario averages 4.6. In the last 5 games, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (7.4) is over 7.5. The odds: over 7.5 corners at 1.18, under 7.5 at 3.76. São Bernardo is favored in the corner market with odds at 1.95. The statistics suggest a moderate number of corners, and a bet on over 7.5 seems logical, considering the frequency of overs and the teams' averages.