Prediction for match Saint Etienne — Boulogne

Match Analysis: Saint Etienne vs Boulogne

On January 31, Saint Etienne will face Boulogne in Ligue 2. According to the 1X2 odds, Saint Etienne is the favorite with odds of 1.55, a draw is at 4.20, and a victory for Boulogne is at 5.44. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Saint Etienne - 60.46%, draw - 22.31%, Boulogne - 17.23%. This setup confirms Saint Etienne's advantage, but Boulogne shouldn't be underestimated given both teams' recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Saint Etienne has an average ball possession of 63.4%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Boulogne lags in ball control at 40.2%, registering 1.8 yellows, 14.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Saint Etienne played as follows: January 24 - Reims 1-0 Saint Etienne, January 17 - Saint Etienne 1-0 Clermont Foot, January 3 - Le Mans 0-0 Saint Etienne. Boulogne's last three games were: January 24 - Red Star 2-2 Boulogne, January 16 - Boulogne 1-0 Montpellier, January 3 - Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne. Their last head-to-head was on March 3, 2015: Boulogne 2-2 Saint Etienne.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Saint Etienne's last five matches, the average number of goals per game is 1.8, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per match. Boulogne has a higher average of 2.6, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Saint Etienne has 2 out of 5, Boulogne 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, and in the second half, once for Saint Etienne and three times for Boulogne. Regarding goal intervals: Saint Etienne most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), and concedes between the 31st-45th minutes (67%). Boulogne is most effective between the 16th-30th minutes (33%) and concedes most often between the 61st-75th minutes (60%). Considering Boulogne's higher average total goals and both teams' frequent over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Regarding average corner kicks, Saint Etienne earns 4.6, Boulogne 5 per match. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Saint Etienne and four times for Boulogne. For corner lines, there's a pair at 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.87, under 9.5 - 1.81. Saint Etienne is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.35. Considering both teams' average corner totals and Boulogne's frequent over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems a logical additional choice.