Prediction for match Saint Etienne — Troyes

Match Analysis: Saint Etienne vs Troyes

In Ligue 2 on April 25th, Saint Etienne will face Troyes. According to the 1X2 betting odds, Saint Etienne's win is priced at 1.91, a draw is at 3.70, and a Troyes victory at 3.65. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Saint Etienne 49.03%, draw 25.31%, Troyes 25.66%. These numbers suggest that Saint Etienne is the favorite, but the gap is not significant, and the odds for a draw or a Troyes win are quite close. In the "Both Teams to Score" market, "yes" is offered at 1.53, "no" at 2.35, indicating a high expectation of goals from both sides. The over 2.5 goals market is at 1.61, while under 2.5 is at 2.27, also pointing towards a tendency for a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Saint Etienne has an average possession of 62.2%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 16.2 fouls, and has 2.4 offsides per game. Troyes averages 51.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. In Saint Etienne's last three matches: April 18, 2026, Bastia 2-0 Saint Etienne, April 11, 2026, Saint Etienne 2-1 Dunkirk, April 4, 2026, Nancy 1-1 Saint Etienne. For Troyes: April 18, 2026, Troyes 1-0 Boulogne, April 13, 2026, Rodez 2-1 Troyes, April 4, 2026, Montpellier 2-2 Troyes. In their last head-to-head on November 8, 2025, Troyes lost to Saint Etienne 2-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Saint Etienne had 2 matches over 2.5 goals and 3 under, while Troyes had 4 over and 1 under. Saint Etienne averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Troyes scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. The average goals per match for Saint Etienne is 2.2, and for Troyes, it's 3.4. In the first half, Saint Etienne surpassed the 1.5 goal line 3 times out of 5, while Troyes did so 2 times. In the second halves, Saint Etienne didn't surpass the 1.5 goal line in any of their last 5 games, while Troyes did 3 times out of 5. Saint Etienne most often scores between the 16-30 and 61-75 minute marks (33% each), and Troyes between the 31-45 minutes (33%). Saint Etienne most often concedes between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Troyes tends to concede early in the match (0-15 minutes, 33%) and right after the break (46-60, 33%). Overall, both teams have potent attacking lines, especially Troyes, and the average goals and frequency of over 2.5 for Troyes support the bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.53.

Corner Totals Analysis

Both Saint Etienne and Troyes average 5.2 corners per match. In the last 5 games, Saint Etienne had no matches over 9.5 corners, while Troyes had 1 out of 5. The nearest total to the average corners is 10.5. According to the odds, over 10.5 corners is at 2.73, under 10.5 at 1.36. Saint Etienne is the favorite in the corner market with odds of 1.82. Considering the average figures and frequency, it makes sense to view under 10.5 corners as a more likely outcome, but the main corner market doesn't stand out as clearly as the goal market.