Prediction for match Saint Etienne — Montpellier

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The clash between Saint Etienne and Montpellier in the French Ligue 2 will take place on February 7, 2026. Bookmakers have Saint Etienne as the favorite: their win is priced at 1.84, a draw at 3.72, and a Montpellier victory at 3.92. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Saint Etienne - 50.92%, draw - 25.18%, Montpellier - 23.90%. Thus, according to analysts and odds, Saint Etienne has the highest chances of success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Saint Etienne has averaged 60.2% possession, committed 11.6 fouls, been caught offside 2.4 times, and received 2 yellow cards per game. During the same period, Montpellier averaged 42.6% possession, 17 fouls, 2.8 offsides, and 3 yellow cards. In their last three matches, Saint Etienne's results were: January 31 - Saint Etienne vs Boulogne - 0-1, January 24 - Reims vs Saint Etienne - 1-0, January 17 - Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot - 1-0. For Montpellier: February 4 - Nice vs Montpellier - 3-2, January 30 - Montpellier vs Guingamp - 3-1, January 23 - Bastia vs Montpellier - 0-2. The last head-to-head match was on October 4, 2025: Montpellier vs Saint Etienne - 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Saint Etienne's average total goals stand at 1.2, with the team scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8 per game. Montpellier's figures are noticeably higher: 3.2 goals on average, with 2.2 scored and 1 conceded. In terms of over 2.5 goals, only 1 of Saint Etienne's 5 matches was high-scoring, while Montpellier had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Saint Etienne had 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, and Montpellier had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Saint Etienne had no matches with a total over 1.5, whereas Montpellier had 3 out of 5. By time intervals, Saint Etienne scores most frequently between 61-75 minutes (50%), and Montpellier between 76-90 minutes (43%). Saint Etienne concedes most often in two intervals: 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (both 50%), while Montpellier concedes early (0-15, 30%) and mid-second half (61-75, 30%). Considering Montpellier's high scoring and Saint Etienne's less reliable defense, betting on over 2.25 goals at odds of 1.51 seems justified.

Analysis of Total Corners

Saint Etienne averages 4 corners per match, and Montpellier 3.2. Over the last five games, Saint Etienne saw the total corners exceed 9.5 twice, and Montpellier once. The line for total corners closest to the teams' average is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.51, under 8.5 at 2.29. Saint Etienne is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.61. Given the averages and the frequency of the total being exceeded, betting on over 8.5 corners appears logical for this match.