Prediction for match Sampdoria — Empoli

Match Analysis: Sampdoria vs Empoli

In Serie B on April 6, Sampdoria will face Empoli. The odds for the outcomes are distributed as follows: a win for Sampdoria is priced at 2.34, a draw at 3.12, and a win for Empoli at 3.14. According to bookmakers, the probability percentages are: Sampdoria - 40.08%, draw - 30.06%, Empoli - 29.87%. Sampdoria has a slight edge in terms of odds, but the probabilities show that the teams are very evenly matched, promising an unpredictable game. Notably, Sampdoria's win has the lowest odds among the three, while a draw and an Empoli win are almost equally valued.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Sampdoria's results were: March 22, 2026 - Sampdoria 2-1 Avellino, March 18, 2026 - Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria, March 14, 2026 - Sampdoria 0-0 Venezia. During the same period, Empoli's results were: March 22, 2026 - Empoli 4-2 Pescara, March 17, 2026 - Spezia 1-1 Empoli, March 14, 2026 - Empoli 2-2 Mantova. On average, over the last five matches, Sampdoria has 43.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Empoli averages 48.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. In their head-to-head meetings, the last game was on October 28, 2025 - Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria. These stats highlight the difference in style: Sampdoria plays more conservatively, while Empoli tends to foul more and is more aggressive in attack.

How Many Goals in Sampdoria vs Empoli

In terms of scoring, Sampdoria has an average goal total of 2 in their last five matches, while Empoli's is 4. Sampdoria scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1.4, while Empoli scores and concedes 2 on average. For matches exceeding 2.5 goals, Sampdoria has 2 out of 5, and Empoli has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Sampdoria has never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Empoli has done so 4 times out of 5. In the second half, both teams have exceeded 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. In terms of timing, Sampdoria most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (38% each), conceding exclusively in the final minutes (76th-90th minutes - 100%). Empoli most often scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (42%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%). This profile suggests a high likelihood of a productive second half and Empoli's tendency for high-scoring games. While Sampdoria appears more defensive, Empoli consistently plays over. Overall, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.58 seems justified: Empoli has an over-profile, and Sampdoria can maintain the pace in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Regarding corners, Sampdoria averages 4.6, and Empoli averages 5 per game. Over the last 5 matches, both teams have exceeded a total of 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5. Among all options for the total corners, the line closest to the average (9.6) is 9.5. For this, both outcomes are available: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.85. For the outcome on corners, Sampdoria is the favorite with odds of 1.66. Considering the frequent occurrence of high totals and the activity of both teams on the flanks, it makes sense to consider the option of over 9.5 corners. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly earn 4-5 corners per match, supporting a bet on a high corner total.