Prediction for match Sampdoria — Padova, 14.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B on February 14, Sampdoria will face Padova. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Sampdoria win at 1.85, a draw at 3.06, and a Padova victory at 5.02. According to probability percentages, Sampdoria has a 50.68% chance of winning, a draw has a 30.64% chance, and Padova has an 18.68% chance. Thus, Sampdoria stands out as the favorite for this match based on the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sampdoria played as follows: February 10 - Sampdoria vs Palermo - 3-3, February 7 - Modena vs Sampdoria - 1-2, January 31 - Sampdoria vs Spezia - 1-0. During the same period, Padova had these results: February 10 - Padova vs Carrarese - 1-0, February 7 - Juve Stabia vs Padova - 3-3, February 1 - Padova vs Monza - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on December 20, 2025, Padova and Sampdoria drew 1-1. Over a five-match stretch, Sampdoria averages 47.6% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 17.4 fouls, and is caught offside 3.4 times per game. Padova also maintains 47.6% possession, records 2.2 yellows, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Sampdoria has an average total of 2.4 goals over five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1 goal per game. Padova's average total is higher at 3.2, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2 goals per match. Over the five-match stretch, Sampdoria played over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games and under in 3, while Padova went over 2.5 in 4 out of 5 and under in just 1. By halves, Sampdoria had no matches over 1.5 goals in the first half, but 2 out of 5 matches ended with two or more goals in the second half. Padova had 2 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5 and also 2 out of 5 in the second half. Sampdoria most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), while they concede most often in the final minutes - 76th-90th (50%). Padova scores most frequently between the 16th-30th minute (44%) and also concedes mainly in the final minutes (76th-90th - 43%). Given that both teams have decent goal averages and Padova often plays high-scoring games, it's logical to consider over 2.0 goals at 1.67.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sampdoria averages 4.6 corners over five matches, while Padova averages 3.6. Over the five-match stretch, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 corners. When considering corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 - 1.60, under 8.5 - 2.16. For corner outcomes, Sampdoria is the favorite at 1.45. In this match, around 8-9 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 8.5 corners looks justified, considering the average figures of both teams and the frequency of over hits.