Prediction for match Samsunspor — Kayserispor

Match Analysis: Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

In the Turkish Süper Lig on 15.03.2026, Samsunspor will face Kayserispor. According to the 1X2 odds, Samsunspor is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.02, a draw at 3.58, and a win for Kayserispor at 3.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Samsunspor - 48.03%, draw - 27.10%, Kayserispor - 24.88%. For the over/under 2.5 goals market, the odds are 2.06 for over and 1.83 for under. Both teams to score: yes - 1.81, no - 1.90. For individual team totals, Samsunspor over 1.5 is at 2.07, and Kayserispor over 1 is at 2.17. Samsunspor is favored to win the corners at 1.52.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Samsunspor averaged 59.4% possession, committed 17.4 fouls, were caught offside 1.6 times, and received 2.4 yellow cards. In the same period, Kayserispor had 46.4% possession, committed 12.2 fouls, were caught offside 3.2 times, and also received 2.4 yellow cards. Samsunspor's last three matches were: 12.03.2026 - Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano 1-3, 08.03.2026 - Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor 3-2, 01.03.2026 - Samsunspor vs Gaziantep 0-0. Kayserispor's last three encounters were: 09.03.2026 - Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor 1-3, 01.03.2026 - Gençlerbirliği vs Kayserispor 0-0, 22.02.2026 - Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Kayserispor lost to Samsunspor 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Samsunspor averaged 2.6 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Kayserispor averaged 1.6 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. Samsunspor has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Kayserispor has seen this in 2 of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Samsunspor and once for Kayserispor. In the second half, Samsunspor had over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5, and Kayserispor in 3 of 5. Samsunspor most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Kayserispor scores in the same period (75%). Samsunspor most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Kayserispor concedes between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each). Given Samsunspor's average scoring rate and both teams' frequency of over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.49 seems appealing, but the main prediction is over 2.5 goals at 2.06, as Samsunspor had three high-scoring games out of five, and Kayserispor played over 1.5 in the second half in three out of five matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five games, Samsunspor averaged 4.2 corners, while Kayserispor averaged 5.6. For the over 9.5 corners market, Samsunspor had 1 out of 5, and Kayserispor 3 out of 5. The closest total to their average is 9.5: the odds for over 9.5 are 1.89, and for under 9.5, it's 1.79. Samsunspor is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.52. Considering both teams average nearly 10 corners per match, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.