Prediction for match San Lorenzo — Santos

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

The match between San Lorenzo and Santos in the Sudamericana tournament will take place on 28.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for San Lorenzo is priced at 2.29, a draw at 2.89, and a victory for Santos is at 3.44. The probabilities are distributed as follows: San Lorenzo - 40.68%, draw - 32.24%, Santos - 27.08%. The most likely outcome is considered to be a win for San Lorenzo, but a draw also has significant support. Santos is rated lower in terms of probability, but the gap is not critical, suggesting a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, San Lorenzo has the following results: 25.04.2026 Platense - San Lorenzo 0-1, 20.04.2026 San Lorenzo - Velez Sarsfield 0-0, 17.04.2026 San Lorenzo - Deportivo Cuenca 2-0. They also drew with Newell's Old Boys (0-0) and Deportivo Recoleta (1-1). During the same period, Santos played as follows: 25.04.2026 Bahia - Santos 2-2, 22.04.2026 Santos - Coritiba 0-0, 19.04.2026 Santos - Fluminense 2-3. They also had a draw with Deportivo Recoleta (1-1) and a win over Atletico Mineiro (1-0). In head-to-head encounters, the last game was on 14.04.2021: Santos - San Lorenzo 2-2. According to secondary statistics, San Lorenzo averages 53.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and records 1 offside over five matches. Santos averages 52.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the San Lorenzo vs Santos Match

San Lorenzo's goal profile over a five-match series is low-scoring: the average number of goals in matches is 1.0, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.2. Santos has a noticeably higher average total of goals at 2.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding the same amount. San Lorenzo has not had any matches go over 2.5 goals (0 out of 5), while Santos has had 2 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals. By halves, San Lorenzo has only 1 out of 5 matches go over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second, while Santos has 3 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals, San Lorenzo most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (67%), and concedes between 16-30 minutes (100%). Santos's most frequent goals occur in the 0-15 (33%) and 76-90 minute intervals (33%), while they concede in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each). Considering San Lorenzo's low scoring rate and Santos's moderate figures, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.25 goals with odds of 1.54.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, over 5 matches, San Lorenzo earns 3.6 corners, and Santos 5.4. The frequency of going over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for San Lorenzo, and 3 out of 5 for Santos. According to available odds for the total corners, for a line of 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 - 2.10, under 9.5 - 1.70. On average, the teams together deliver 9 corners, which is close to this line. Based on the data, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems slightly more likely, considering the average figures of both teams. It is also worth noting that Santos has a slightly higher frequency of hitting the over on corner totals, but the difference is not significant.