Prediction for match San Lorenzo — Velez Sarsfield

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League on April 20, 2026, San Lorenzo will face Velez Sarsfield. The odds for a Velez Sarsfield win are 2.59, a draw is at 2.76, and a San Lorenzo victory is priced at 3.14. The probability of a San Lorenzo win is 29.85%, a draw is 33.96%, and a Velez Sarsfield win is 36.19%. Based on these figures, Velez Sarsfield is the favorite, although the difference between the teams and a draw is not substantial. The goal total odds suggest a low-scoring game, with under 2.0 at 1.59 and over 1.5 at 1.64. Both teams to score: no is at 1.55, while yes is at 2.30. For individual team totals, San Lorenzo over 0.5 is at 1.55, and Velez Sarsfield over 0.5 is at 1.47.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, San Lorenzo had an average possession of 55.8%, committed 14.2 fouls, received 2.2 yellow cards, and had 0.8 offsides per game. Velez Sarsfield had similar stats: 55.8% possession, 10.6 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 0.6 offsides. San Lorenzo's last three matches were: April 17, 2026 - San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca - 2-0, April 12, 2026 - Newell's Old Boys vs San Lorenzo - 0-0, April 8, 2026 - Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo - 1-1. Velez Sarsfield played: April 14, 2026 - Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago - 1-0, April 3, 2026 - Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield - 3-2, March 21, 2026 - Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus - 0-1. In their last head-to-head on August 7, 2025, San Lorenzo defeated Velez Sarsfield 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield

In their last five games, San Lorenzo's average total goals per match was 1.4, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 0.4. Velez Sarsfield's average total was 2.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. San Lorenzo had no matches with over 2.5 goals, while Velez Sarsfield had 1 out of 5. Odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.64, and under 2.0 goals are 1.59. Both teams tend towards low-scoring halves: only 1 out of 5 matches had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and similarly in the second half. San Lorenzo frequently scored in the 0-15 minute (40%) and 61-75 minute (40%) intervals. Velez Sarsfield most often scored late, in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). San Lorenzo conceded most in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (50% each), while Velez Sarsfield conceded 50% of their goals in the 0-15 minute interval. Both teams to score: no is at 1.55, which seems logical given the low average goals and frequency of totals. In the last five matches, San Lorenzo had no games with over 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield only once. All key indicators suggest a low-scoring game, where one team may not score.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

San Lorenzo averages 3.4 corners per game, while Velez Sarsfield averages 3.6. In the last five games, both teams had only one match with over 9.5 corners. The closest line to the average total (7.0) is 7.5 corners: over 7.5 is at 1.52, under 7.5 is at 2.27. The 8.5 total is also close: over 8.5 is at 1.95, under 8.5 is at 1.74. San Lorenzo is favored in corners with odds of 1.82. Both teams have not shown high activity in corners recently, so betting on under 8.5 corners seems justified. Also, consider betting on San Lorenzo to win the corner count, given their recent performance.