Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Avispa Fukuoka

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka match in the J1 League is scheduled for April 5, 2026. The odds for the match outcomes are as follows: a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima is priced at 1.53, a draw is at 4.00, and a win for Avispa Fukuoka is at 6.10. In terms of probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 61.23% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.42%, and Avispa Fukuoka has a 15.36% chance of winning. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is clearly favored according to both the odds and the probabilities, confirming their status as the favorites in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has shown 53.6% ball possession in their last five matches, with an average of 1.4 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Avispa Fukuoka averages 41% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three encounters, Sanfrecce Hiroshima lost to Vissel Kobe 1-2 (03/27/2026), Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 (03/22/2026), and Nagoya Grampus 1-2 (03/18/2026). Avispa Fukuoka played against Gamba Osaka 16-15 (03/21/2026), lost to Shimizu S-Pulse 5-6 (03/18/2026), and to V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 (03/15/2026). Their latest head-to-head match was on 09/27/2025: Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has an average total of 2.6 goals per match, while Avispa Fukuoka averages 3.2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4, while Avispa Fukuoka scores 1 and concedes 2.2. In Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last five matches, the total went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Avispa Fukuoka had the same pattern: three times over 2.5 goals, twice under. By half, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the total over 1.5 goals in the first half once and in the second half three times out of five. Avispa Fukuoka had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half four times out of five. Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes and 76th to 90th minutes (30% each), while Avispa Fukuoka scores most often between the 76th and 90th minutes (63%). Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes most frequently between the 46th and 60th minutes (67%), while Avispa Fukuoka concedes evenly in the intervals of 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (22% each). Given both teams' average scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 6.8 corners per match, while Avispa Fukuoka averages 3.4. In their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima's total corners went over 9.5 three times, while Avispa Fukuoka's did so only once. The odds for corners: over 9.5 is at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.87. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.24. Considering the difference in average corner numbers and frequency of outcomes, it makes sense to consider a bet on Sanfrecce Hiroshima's individual corner total over 5.5 or the overall total over 9.5, given their attacking activity in this aspect.