Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Nagoya Grampus

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League on May 23, 2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will face Nagoya Grampus. Bookmakers have marked Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the favorites: a win for them is priced at 1.69, which corresponds to a 55.45% probability. A draw is priced at 3.98 (23.54%), while a Nagoya Grampus victory is at 4.46 (21.01%). The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.67, and for both teams to score: yes, it's 1.64. For individual team totals, Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals is at 1.68, and Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 goals is at 3.14. For those considering halftime results, a first-half win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima is offered at 2.22. The option "draw or Nagoya Grampus" is priced at 2.12.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima defeated Kyoto Sanga 4-0 (May 17, 2026), won against Gamba Osaka 1-0 (May 10, 2026), and drew with Vissel Kobe 1-1 (May 6, 2026). Nagoya Grampus, in their last three games, lost to Cerezo Osaka 1-6 (May 17, 2026), beat Kyoto Sanga 3-0 (May 10, 2026), and won against Gamba Osaka 2-1 (May 6, 2026). In their last head-to-head on March 18, 2026, Nagoya Grampus was stronger with a 2-1 victory over Sanfrecce Hiroshima. For additional metrics, Sanfrecce Hiroshima's average ball possession over five matches is 54%, with 12 fouls, 1.6 yellow cards, and 0.6 offsides per game. Nagoya Grampus has 51.2% possession, 6.8 fouls, 0.2 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores an average of 1.6 goals, concedes 0.8, with a total match goal average of 2.4. Nagoya Grampus has higher averages: 1.8 goals scored, 1.8 conceded, and 3.6 total goals per game. For over 2.5 goals, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 2 out of 5 matches, while Nagoya Grampus has 4 out of 5. By halves, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second half, while Nagoya Grampus has 4 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), while Nagoya Grampus scores most often in the 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minute intervals (23% each). Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (38%), and Nagoya Grampus between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (40% each). Given both teams' strong scoring records and Nagoya Grampus' recent high-scoring games, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 4.6 corners per match, while Nagoya Grampus averages 6. For the over 9.5 corners market, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 1 out of 5, and Nagoya Grampus has 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the 10.5 line is closest to the average sum (10.6): over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.31, under 10.5 at 1.50. In corner outcomes, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with odds of 1.28. Considering both teams' average figures, a bet on over 10.5 corners is appealing for high total enthusiasts, but the frequency of this line passing isn't very high, so a total of 9.5 or 10.5 is more balanced.