Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shanghai Shenhua

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The AFC Champions League match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shanghai Shenhua is scheduled for December 10, 2025. The odds for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima victory are 1.36, a draw is priced at 5.16, and a Shanghai Shenhua win is at 8.25. In terms of probabilities: a 70.01% chance for the Japanese team to win, an 18.45% chance for a draw, and an 11.54% chance for Shanghai Shenhua to claim victory. Given these odds and percentage distributions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima stands out as the favorite, but the goal statistics of both teams suggest considering bets on goal productivity.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has averaged 50.4% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Shanghai Shenhua's stats are: 48.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima defeated Shonan Bellmare 2-1 (December 6, 2025), beat Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 (November 30, 2025), and drew with Chengdu Rongcheng 1-1 (November 25, 2025). Shanghai Shenhua recently lost to Vissel Kobe 0-2 (November 26, 2025), defeated Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3-1 (November 22, 2025), and lost to Johor Darul Ta'zim 1-3 (November 5, 2025). These data show that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, with discipline and aggression reflected in a moderate number of cards and fouls. Additionally, Sanfrecce Hiroshima consistently shows a high percentage of ball possession, while Shanghai Shenhua tends to commit more fouls.

Goals in Match Statistics

In their last five matches, the average total goals in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's games is 2.4, while for Shanghai Shenhua it is 3. The Japanese team scores 1.8 goals per game and concedes 0.6, whereas the Chinese team scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. In the last 5 matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, and under in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 1.5 goals once, and Shanghai Shenhua three times. In the second half, the Japanese team had over 1.5 goals three times, and Shanghai Shenhua twice. For goal intervals, Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (38%), and Shanghai Shenhua in the same interval (50%). Meanwhile, the Japanese team concedes more often between 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), while Shanghai Shenhua concedes most frequently between 31-45 (50%). This profile suggests a high probability of a productive match, especially in the second half. Against this backdrop, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.58 seems logical: both teams regularly play in high-scoring matches, their average goal figures are above 2.4, and the frequency of over 2.5 goals is maintained at 3 out of 5 for each.

Analysis of Total Corners

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 6 corners per match, while Shanghai Shenhua averages 5.8. In the last five matches, the Japanese team had over 9.5 corners once, and Shanghai Shenhua three times. When considering the total corners, the closest line to the sum of the averages is 11.5, although there is a line at 11.5: over 11.5 - no odds available, under 11.5 - no odds available. Among the presented options, the closest line is 9.5, but there is no pair of odds for it. Overall, the statistics for both teams' corners suggest the possibility of a bet on over 10 corners, especially considering the attacking style of both sides and their frequency of corner kicks in recent matches. Individual total corners for each team can also be considered, as both regularly deliver more than 5 corners per game.