Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shimizu S-pulse

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League on 11.04.2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will face Shimizu S-pulse. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima is priced at 1.59, a draw is at 3.98, and a victory for Shimizu S-pulse is at 5.35. The probability distribution is as follows: 58.94% for a win by Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 23.55% for a draw, and 17.52% for Shimizu S-pulse. This setup reflects the advantage of Sanfrecce Hiroshima, but Shimizu S-pulse has shown the ability to surprise opponents in recent matches. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for additional betting strategies.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has an average possession of 55.8%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and records 2.6 offsides per game. Shimizu S-pulse, over the same period, has 50.8% possession, receives 0.4 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0-1, was defeated by Vissel Kobe 1-2, and lost to Shimizu S-pulse 1-3. Shimizu S-pulse defeated V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0, lost to Vissel Kobe 0-2, and won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on 22.03.2026, Shimizu S-pulse emerged victorious with a 3-1 scoreline.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Both teams have an average total of 2.6 goals over their last five matches. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6, while Shimizu S-pulse scores 1.6 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 3 out of 5 matches, while Shimizu S-pulse has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and twice for Shimizu S-pulse, while in the second half, both teams played 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Regarding goal intervals, Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), while Shimizu S-pulse scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (43%). Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Shimizu S-pulse concedes early (0-15, 33%) and late (76-90, 33%). Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals, and both teams' activity in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems reasonable for this match.

Corner Bets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 5.6 corners per match, while Shimizu S-pulse averages 4.4. In the last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners, and Shimizu S-pulse had 1 out of 5. The line for total corners stands out at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.84, and under 9.5 is also at 1.84. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.29. Given the average sum of corners for both teams (10), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially if the teams are actively attacking in the second half.