Prediction for match Santos — Atletico Mineiro

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on 11.04.2026, Santos will face Atletico Mineiro. The odds for a Santos victory are 2.29, a draw is 3.24, and an Atletico Mineiro win is 3.38. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Santos - 41.94%, draw - 29.64%, Atletico Mineiro - 28.42%. For the total over 2.5 goals, the odds are 2.17, and for under 2.5, it's 1.72. Both teams to score: Yes is at 1.84, No is at 1.86. For individual team totals: Santos over 1 goal is at 1.56, Atletico Mineiro over 1 goal is at 2.05. The double chance for 1X is at 1.33, and for X2 it's 1.64.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Santos lost to Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 (08.04.2026), lost to Flamengo 1-3 (05.04.2026), and defeated Remo 2-0 (02.04.2026). Atletico Mineiro recently lost to Puerto Cabello 1-2 (09.04.2026), won against Atletico Paranaense 2-1 (05.04.2026), and thrashed Chapecoense 4-0 (02.04.2026). In their head-to-head on 14.09.2025, Atletico Mineiro and Santos drew 1-1. In secondary statistics over the last 5 games, Santos averages 51.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Atletico Mineiro shows 47.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Santos vs Atletico Mineiro

In their last five matches, Santos has an average total of 2 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Atletico Mineiro has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. For matches going over 2.5 goals: Santos has 2 out of 5, Atletico Mineiro 3 out of 5. By halves, Santos had no matches going over 1.5 goals in the first half, while in the second half, 2 out of 5 went over 1.5. Atletico Mineiro had 2 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, and 1 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals, Santos most frequently scores between 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes mostly between 46 and 60 minutes (67%). Atletico Mineiro scores most often between 16 and 30 minutes (33%), and concedes in the same interval (50%). Overall, the statistics lean towards a low-scoring game: Santos has weak scoring, while Atletico Mineiro's numbers are better but not extremely high. The under 2.5 goals has occurred 3 times out of 5 for Santos, and 2 times out of 5 for Atletico Mineiro. Considering Santos's low scoring and Atletico Mineiro's moderate numbers, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Santos averages 4 corners per match, Atletico Mineiro - 3. For matches going over 9.5 corners, Santos has 3 out of 5, Atletico Mineiro 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (7) is the 7.5 line, but the odds only list 9.5. For a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. Statistically, neither team stands out for high corner activity, which may lead to a bet on under 9.5 corners. For individual averages, Santos has 4, and Atletico Mineiro has 3 corners per game. A low total on corners seems a logical choice for this match.