Prediction for match Santos — Corinthians

Match Analysis: Santos vs Corinthians

In Brazil's Serie A, Santos will face Corinthians on March 15. The odds for a Santos win are 2.38, a draw is 2.97, and a Corinthians victory is 3.52. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Santos - 40.36%, draw - 32.35%, Corinthians - 27.29%. Santos is the favorite, but a draw is also a significant possibility. The 1X2 odds show no clear skew, adding intrigue to the betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santos averages 51.6% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Corinthians averages 59.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Santos' last three matches: March 11, 2026 - Mirassol 2-2 Santos, February 26, 2026 - Santos 2-1 Vasco da Gama, February 22, 2026 - Novorizontino 2-1 Santos. Corinthians' recent matches: March 12, 2026 - Corinthians 0-2 Coritiba, February 28, 2026 - Novorizontino 1-0 Corinthians, February 25, 2026 - Cruzeiro 1-1 Corinthians. In their last head-to-head on January 22, 2026, Santos and Corinthians drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Santos has an average total of 3.8 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. Corinthians averages 1.6 total goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. For the over 2.5 goals market, Santos has hit the over in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Corinthians has gone under in all 5 of theirs. In terms of halves, Santos has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and the same in the second half. Corinthians has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times and none in the second half. Santos most frequently scores between the 16th-30th minutes (29%) and 76th-90th minutes (29%), while Corinthians scores mostly between the 16th-30th minutes (40%). Both teams tend to concede late: 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Given Santos' high scoring and Corinthians' low-scoring nature, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified, especially since Corinthians consistently plays low-scoring games and Santos might struggle against their defense. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.79.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Santos averages 4 corners per game, while Corinthians averages 2.6. For the over 9.5 corners market, Santos has gone over in 3 out of 5, while Corinthians has done so in 1 out of 5. The line for corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.61, under 9.5 is at 2.15. Santos is the favorite in the corner market with odds of 1.67. Considering both teams' averages and frequency, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical, but there could also be a slight edge for Santos in the number of corner kicks.