Prediction for match Santos — Coritiba

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On April 22, 2026, Santos will face Coritiba in the Copa do Brasil. Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.67 for a Santos win, 3.66 for a draw, and 4.96 for a Coritiba victory. Based on the current odds, Santos has a 55.77% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.45%, and Coritiba has an 18.78% chance. This suggests a significant advantage for Santos, but a draw shouldn't be ruled out. There are various options for totals and both teams to score, with a focus on Santos' scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Santos played as follows: April 19, 2026 - Santos vs. Fluminense - 2-3, April 15, 2026 - Santos vs. Deportivo Recoleta - 1-1, April 11, 2026 - Santos vs. Atlético Mineiro - 1-0. Coritiba's recent results are: April 19, 2026 - Coritiba vs. Atlético Mineiro - 2-0, April 12, 2026 - Botafogo vs. Coritiba - 2-2, April 4, 2026 - Coritiba vs. Fluminense - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on November 12, 2024, Coritiba lost to Santos 0-2. Over the last five matches, Santos has 53.6% possession, averages 2.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Coritiba, in the same period, has 41.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1 offside per game. These stats reflect the difference in playstyle and ball control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Santos averages 2.6 goals per game, while Coritiba averages 2.4. Santos scores 1 goal per game on average and concedes 1.6, whereas Coritiba scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. Over 2.5 goals have been seen in 2 out of 5 games for Santos and 1 out of 5 for Coritiba. The odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.30, and for over 2.0 goals, it's 1.51. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Santos and never for Coritiba. In the second half, both teams have 2 instances of over 1.5 goals in their last five games. Santos most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%), while Coritiba scores most between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). Santos concedes most between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), and Coritiba between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). These figures indicate both teams tend to be more active in the second half, but high-scoring games aren't always guaranteed. Based on average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 goals, and timing support, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.51 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Santos averages 5.4 corners per game, while Coritiba averages 3.2. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Santos and 4 out of 5 for Coritiba. The closest line to the average total (8.6) is 8.5 corners. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.36, and for under 8.5, it's 2.78. Santos is the favorite for most corners with odds at 1.43. Based on statistics, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams frequently surpass this line. Additionally, considering Santos' advantage in average corner numbers, betting on Santos to win the corner count could be considered.