Prediction for match Santos — Mirassol, 20.11.2025

Match Analysis: Santos vs Mirassol

On November 20, in Brazil's Serie A, Santos will face Mirassol. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Santos victory at 2.14, while a draw and a Mirassol win are both at 3.48. Based on probability percentages, Santos has a 44.85% chance of winning, while Mirassol and a draw each have a 27.58% chance. Thus, Santos is slightly favored, but the odds for a draw and a Mirassol win are quite similar, indicating a fairly balanced expectation between these outcomes.

Team Streaks

In their last five matches, Santos has an average possession of 50.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Mirassol's stats are: possession 56.4%, yellow cards 2.4, fouls 11.2, offsides 2. In Santos' last three matches: 16.11.2025 - Santos vs Palmeiras - 1:0, 09.11.2025 - Flamengo vs Santos - 3:2, 07.11.2025 - Palmeiras vs Santos - 2:0. Mirassol's last three matches: 09.11.2025 - Mirassol vs Palmeiras - 2:1, 06.11.2025 - Fluminense vs Mirassol - 1:0, 01.11.2025 - Mirassol vs Botafogo - 0:0. In their most recent head-to-head on 19.07.2025, Mirassol defeated Santos 3-0, with the total over 2.5 being surpassed.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, the over 2.5 total goals occurred twice for Santos and three times for Mirassol. Over a span of 5 games, the average total goals for Santos is 2.6, while for Mirassol it's 2.0. Santos scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6, while Mirassol scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6. By halves: Santos had only 1 of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half, while Mirassol had 3 out of 5 in the first half and none in the second. Santos most frequently scores and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (33% and 40% respectively), while Mirassol scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (57%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (67%). Considering the average scoring of both teams and the distribution of goals by halves and intervals, betting on under 2.5 goals seems most justified.

Corner Bets

Santos averages 4.8 corners per match, while Mirassol averages 4.4. In the last 5 games, Santos exceeded the total of 9.5 corners 4 times, while Mirassol did so 2 times. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.52, and for under 9.5 corners, it's 2.37. Santos is favored for corners with odds of 1.49. Given the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total by Santos, considering over 9.5 corners makes sense, especially considering the attacking activity of both sides in terms of fouls and possession.