Prediction for match Santos — Palmeiras, 16.11.2025

Match Analysis: Santos vs Palmeiras

In the upcoming round of Brazil's Serie A, Santos will face Palmeiras. The match is set for November 16, 2025. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Palmeiras' win is at 2.20, Santos' victory is at 3.30, and a draw is priced at 3.40. In terms of probabilities, Santos' win is estimated at 28.81%, a draw at 27.97%, and Palmeiras' chance of success at 43.22%. According to the forecast, Palmeiras stands out as the clear favorite, while the draw percentage is average for Serie A.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santos has maintained an average ball possession of 47.2%, with 4.4 corners per game, 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Over the same period, Palmeiras shows 52.8% possession, 6 corners, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Santos' last three matches resulted in: 09.11.2025 - Flamengo 3-2 Santos, 07.11.2025 - Palmeiras 2-0 Santos, 26.10.2025 - Botafogo 2-2 Santos. Palmeiras' last three games: 09.11.2025 - Mirassol 2-1 Palmeiras, 07.11.2025 - Palmeiras 2-0 Santos, 02.11.2025 - Juventude 0-2 Palmeiras. The last head-to-head encounter was on 07.11.2025 and ended with a 2-0 victory for Palmeiras, with the total under 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In Santos' last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, while for Palmeiras it happened 2 times. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded twice for both teams, and in the second half, 3 times for Santos and 2 times for Palmeiras. Santos averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Palmeiras scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.4, indicating a strong defense from the visitors. Santos most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (27%) and concedes towards the end - 76th to 90th minutes (33%). Palmeiras distributes their goals in three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 - each at 25%. Palmeiras' greatest vulnerability is between the 16th and 30th minutes (67% conceded). Overall, the high scoring potential of Santos and the stable attack of Palmeiras, along with the fact that both teams have 2-3 matches with over 2.5 goals in their last five games, make the over 2.5 total at 1.95 odds a solid bet. Additionally, both teams have 2-3 matches with over 1.5 goals per half, supporting the choice for an overall high total.

Corner Bets

On corners, Santos averages 4.4 per game, while Palmeiras averages 6. The frequency of the total corners over 9.5 being hit is 3 out of 5 for both teams. The odds for the total corners over 9.5 are at 1.67, while under 9.5 is at 2.10. Palmeiras' win on corners is priced at 1.80, which is supported by their average. In this matchup, opting for the total corners over 9.5 seems logical, as both teams regularly take more than 4-5 corners per match, and the total is exceeded more often than not in recent games.