Prediction for match Santos Laguna — Leon, 19.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the Santos Laguna vs Leon match?

The Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Leon is scheduled for October 18, 2025. According to the odds on the main outcome, Leon is considered the favorite: the visitors' victory is valued at odds of 2.25 with a probability of 41.56%. Santos Laguna is at 2.88 with a probability of 32.47%, while a draw is offered at 3.60 (25.97%). Thus, bookmakers give the edge to Leon, but the spread of odds suggests a potentially tense match without clear dominance from either side.

Team Form

Analyzing the last five matches, both teams have similar scoring records: Santos Laguna and Leon average 0.8 goals per game. However, Santos Laguna concedes 2.0, while Leon allows 2.6 goals. The average number of goals in Santos Laguna's games is 2.8, and for Leon, it's 3.4. In terms of corners, Santos Laguna earns 5.4, and Leon 4.2 per game. In their last match, Santos Laguna lost to Club America 0-3 (October 5, 2025), and Leon was defeated by Toluca 2-4 (October 5, 2025). In previous head-to-head encounters, the teams often exchanged high-scoring games: on March 9, 2025, Santos Laguna won 2-1, and on August 25, 2024, a 1-1 draw was recorded. In a series of five head-to-head meetings, both teams regularly displayed attacking football.

How many goals to expect?

In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. By halves, Leon had over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves three times out of five, while Santos Laguna had it once in the first half and twice in the second. On average for the season, Santos Laguna has 2.8 goals per game, and Leon 3.4. The most frequent scoring interval for Santos Laguna is 61-75 minutes (38%), and for Leon, it's 31-45 minutes (36%). Both teams concede most often in the 46-60 minute interval (33%), with Leon also showing vulnerability in the 61-75 minute stretch (33%). These statistics indicate a high likelihood of goals after the break, especially in the middle of the second half.

Analysis of corner totals

For corners, Santos Laguna averages 5.4, and Leon 4.2 per match over the last five games. In three out of five matches, Santos Laguna's total corners exceeded 9.5, while Leon achieved this in only one match. The odds for corners over 10 is 1.90, and under 10 is also 1.90. Leon is favored to win on corners at 1.91, making the visitors favorites in this aspect. Overall, Santos Laguna often creates pressure on the wings, while Leon falls short in the number of set pieces.