Prediction for match Sao Paulo — Chapecoense

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense

On March 12, in the Brazil Serie A, Sao Paulo will face Chapecoense. The odds for a Sao Paulo victory are 1.40, a draw is at 4.76, and a Chapecoense win is valued at 8.65. In terms of probabilities: Sao Paulo 68.68%, draw 20.20%, Chapecoense 11.12%. The over 2.5 goals line is highlighted at 1.82, and the both teams to score: no option is at 1.69. While individual totals are available, the most appealing bet seems to be the overall total over 2.5 goals.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Sao Paulo has averaged 54.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Over the same period, Chapecoense has averaged 41.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Sao Paulo played: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo on March 1, Coritiba 0-1 Sao Paulo on February 25, and RB Bragantino 1-2 Sao Paulo on February 21. For Chapecoense: Chapecoense 3-3 Coritiba on February 11, Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense on February 5, and Chapecoense 4-2 Santos on January 28. In their last head-to-head on October 3, 2021, Chapecoense and Sao Paulo drew 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Match

Over the last five matches, Sao Paulo has an average total of 2.4 goals per game, while Chapecoense averages 3.4. Sao Paulo scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 0.8, while Chapecoense scores 2 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Sao Paulo has 3 out of 5, Chapecoense has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Sao Paulo had no games with over 1.5, while Chapecoense had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 4 out of 5 with over 1.5. In terms of scoring intervals: Sao Paulo most frequently scores and concedes between 46-60 minutes (43% and 50% respectively), while Chapecoense most often scores between 76-90 minutes (30%) and concedes evenly across three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each). Considering these data, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified: both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, especially in the second halves, and the average goal statistics support a bet on the over.

Corner Bets

Both teams average the same number of corners: 3.8 per match over the last 5 games. Sao Paulo had 2 matches with over 9.5 corners, while Chapecoense had 4. The total corners line closest to the average sum (7.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is at 1.22, under 7.5 is at 3.50. There is also a line for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.76, under 9.5 is at 1.93. Sao Paulo is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.19. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 7.5 or 9.5, as well as Sao Paulo's advantage in corner count.