Prediction for match Sao Paulo — Internacional, 04.12.2025

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Internacional

In the Brazilian Serie A on December 3, 2025, Sao Paulo will face Internacional. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Sao Paulo is priced at 2.56, a draw at 3.16, and a victory for Internacional at 2.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sao Paulo - 37.46%, draw - 30.35%, Internacional - 32.18%. This clash promises to be exciting in terms of attacking potential from both teams, considering their recent performances and the frequency of high-scoring matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Sao Paulo has an average possession of 52.2% over the last five games, while Internacional holds 55.2%. Sao Paulo averages 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Internacional's stats are: 1.8 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Sao Paulo lost to Fluminense 0-6 (27.11), won against Juventude 2-1 (23.11), and lost to Corinthians 1-3 (20.11). Internacional, in their last three matches, lost to Vasco da Gama 1-5 (28.11), drew with Santos 1-1 (25.11), and defeated Ceara 2-1 (21.11). In their head-to-head on August 3, 2025, Internacional lost to Sao Paulo 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Sao Paulo's average total goals per match is 3.6, while Internacional's is 3.2. Sao Paulo scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 2.6, whereas Internacional scores 1.2 and concedes 2. Sao Paulo has played over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Internacional in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Sao Paulo had over 1.5 goals 2 times, and Internacional 1 time. In the second half, Sao Paulo recorded over 1.5 goals 4 times, and Internacional 3 times. Sao Paulo most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (46%), while Internacional scores most often from the 46th to 60th minutes (30%). Sao Paulo concedes most from the 61st to 75th minute (40%), and Internacional from the 76th to 90th (50%). These figures confirm that both teams tend to play high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Therefore, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.33 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sao Paulo averages 4.4 corners per game, while Internacional averages 4.8. In the last five matches, both teams have only surpassed the total corners over 9.5 once each. According to the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.92, and under 9.5 at 1.82. Sao Paulo is favored to win the corners market at odds of 1.91. The combined average of both teams' corners is close to 9.2, making the over 9.5 total an interesting choice for risky bets, though the success rate is low. A more reliable option would be to consider individual corner totals in additional markets.