Prediction for match Sao Paulo — Palmeiras

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

The Serie A match between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras is set for 22.03.2026. The odds are quite balanced: Palmeiras' win is priced at 2.85, a draw at 2.88, and Sao Paulo's victory at 2.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 33.06% for Sao Paulo to win, 33.29% for a draw, and 33.64% for a Palmeiras victory. This balance suggests that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, and the match could be closely contested. The line for under 2.5 goals is at 1.72, reflecting expectations of a low-scoring game.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sao Paulo secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two losses. Their recent matches were: 18.03.2026 - Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo, 15.03.2026 - RB Bragantino 1-2 Sao Paulo, 12.03.2026 - Sao Paulo 2-0 Chapecoense. Palmeiras also played five recent matches, achieving three wins and two losses. Their recent results: 18.03.2026 - Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo, 15.03.2026 - Palmeiras 1-0 Mirassol, 12.03.2026 - Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras. On average, over the last five games, Sao Paulo held 55.4% possession, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Palmeiras averaged 53.2% possession, 1 yellow card, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 01.03.2026, Palmeiras defeated Sao Paulo 2-1.

What to Expect in Terms of Goals?

The scoring rate for both teams in the last five matches has been moderate. Sao Paulo averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Palmeiras averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The average total goals per match is 2 for Sao Paulo and 2.2 for Palmeiras. Regarding over 2.5 goals outcomes: Sao Paulo had 2 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, Palmeiras had 3 out of 5. For under 2.5 goals, Sao Paulo had 3 out of 5, Palmeiras 2 out of 5. In the first half, Sao Paulo did not have any matches with over 1.5 goals (0 out of 5), whereas Palmeiras had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Sao Paulo played 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, Palmeiras 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Sao Paulo most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes between 46-60 and 61-75 (50% each). Palmeiras is most effective between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (29% each) and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (40%). Overall, both teams show a restrained style of play, and betting on under 2.5 goals seems logical given the current stats.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On corners, Sao Paulo averages 4.8 per match, and Palmeiras 3.4. Over the last five games, Sao Paulo had more than 9.5 corners 3 times, Palmeiras once. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.62, under 9.5 at 2.15. Sao Paulo is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.85. Considering the average activity of both teams and the frequency of occurrences, a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical, especially if the match is evenly contested and both teams seek their chances through the flanks.