Prediction for match Atletico Sarmiento — Gimnasia

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Liga Profesional clash between Atletico Sarmiento and Gimnasia on 13.04.2026, the bookmakers have set the 1X2 odds as follows: a win for Atletico Sarmiento is priced at 2.40, a draw at 2.89, and a victory for Gimnasia at 3.29. The implied probability percentages are: Atletico Sarmiento - 39.06%, draw - 32.44%, Gimnasia - 28.50%. Atletico Sarmiento is favored by the odds, but the difference in chances between the teams is not overwhelming. For total goals options: Over 2.5 is at 2.79, Under 2.5 at 1.42, and both teams to score: yes is 2.22, no is 1.59.

Team Results and Statistics

Atletico Sarmiento's last three results are: 02.04.2026 Barracas Central - Atletico Sarmiento 1-2, 22.03.2026 Atletico Sarmiento - Aldosivi 2-0, 15.03.2026 River Plate - Atletico Sarmiento 2-0. Gimnasia's last three matches were: 05.04.2026 Gimnasia - Huracan 0-3, 21.03.2026 Atletico Tucuman - Gimnasia 1-0, 15.03.2026 Gimnasia - Independiente Rivadavia 2-3. In their last head-to-head on 04.10.2025, Atletico Sarmiento lost to Gimnasia 0-1. Over the last 5 matches, Atletico Sarmiento averages 44.2% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Gimnasia averages 54% possession, 4.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

There are noticeable differences in scoring between the teams. Atletico Sarmiento averages a total of 1.6 goals per match over a five-game span, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6. Gimnasia averages a total of 3.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2. Regarding Over 2.5 goals: Atletico Sarmiento has only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Gimnasia has 4 out of 5 over. By halves: Atletico Sarmiento has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals in the first half and none in the second, while Gimnasia has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first and 1 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Atletico Sarmiento most often scores between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes between 16-30 and 31-45 (50% each). Gimnasia scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes between 16-30 (40%). Given Atletico Sarmiento's low scoring and Gimnasia's inconsistent attack, betting on both teams to score: no at 1.59 seems logical. Atletico Sarmiento has a low goal-scoring rate and only 1 Over 2.5 in 5 games, while Gimnasia's defense is unstable, but their attack is not always effective. Supporting the bet on both teams to score: no is the fact that Atletico Sarmiento has no Over 1.5 in the second half, and Gimnasia only 1 out of 5.

Corner Betting

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Atletico Sarmiento takes 3.4, Gimnasia 4.2. For Over 9.5 corners: Atletico Sarmiento has 3 out of 5, Gimnasia 4 out of 5. The closest line to the sum of the average values (3.4 + 4.2 = 7.6) is 7.5: Over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.36, Under 7.5 at 2.75. Atletico Sarmiento is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.73. In this match, it makes sense to consider betting on over 7.5 corners, given the frequent occurrence of this value for both teams and their average corner stats. Also, consider Gimnasia's individual corner stats, as they consistently take more than 4 corners per game.