Prediction for match Sarpsborg 08 — Molde, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

In the Eliteserien on November 30, Sarpsborg 08 will face Molde. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Molde's victory is priced at 2.41, Sarpsborg 08's win at 2.69, and a draw at 3.84. The probabilities suggest a 35.50% chance for a Sarpsborg 08 win, a 24.87% chance for a draw, and a 39.63% chance for a Molde win. Molde is considered the favorite, but the gap isn't too large, indicating a potential battle. High scoring is expected in this match, given the attacking stats of both teams and their recent goal records.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sarpsborg 08 has averaged 42.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. Molde has averaged 48.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Recent matches for Sarpsborg 08: November 23, 2025, Bryne - Sarpsborg 08 0-3; November 8, 2025, Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad 0-2; November 2, 2025, Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08 4-0. For Molde: November 22, 2025, Molde - Brann 4-0; November 9, 2025, Haugesund - Molde 0-2; November 1, 2025, Molde - Rosenborg 4-2. In their head-to-head match on March 30, 2025, Molde - Sarpsborg 08 ended 0-2, with the total over 2.5 not hitting.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Sarpsborg 08's last five matches, the total over 2.5 was recorded four times, similarly for Molde - 4 out of 5 went over. In terms of halves, Sarpsborg 08 had a total over 1.5 three times in both the first and second halves, while Molde had 3 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Average goals: Sarpsborg 08 - 3.8 per match, Molde - 4.2. Sarpsborg 08 scores mainly between 16-30 minutes (50%), conceding more often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (27% each). Molde scores mostly in the latter stages: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (23% each), while conceding evenly across quarters. Considering these figures, a bet on total over 3.0 at 1.56 seems justified: both teams regularly play high-scoring games, their average goals exceed 3, and the total over 2.5 was recorded in 4 of the last 5 matches for both sides. The timing patterns also support the choice for an over total.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 averages 4.2 corners per match, Molde - 3.8. In the last 5 games, both teams had 2 instances of totals over 9.5. The closest line to the average sum (8) is 8.5: the total over 8.5 is priced at 1.22, under 8.5 at 3.50. You can also consider total over 9.5 at 1.42 and under 9.5 at 2.53. For corner outcomes, Molde is the favorite with odds of 1.94. The statistics on corners suggest a moderate number of deliveries, so it's logical to consider total over 8.5 or 9.5 as viable options for corner bets.