Prediction for match Sassuolo — Atalanta

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On March 1, 2026, in Serie A, Sassuolo will face Atalanta. According to the 1X2 odds, Atalanta is the favorite with odds of 2.03, a draw is at 3.70, and a win for Sassuolo is at 3.97. Atalanta has a 48.54% chance of winning, a draw is estimated at 26.63%, and Sassuolo's chances are 24.82%. This setup confirms Atalanta's status as the stronger side in this matchup, but Sassuolo is also capable of putting up a fight, which is reflected in the relatively high draw percentage. Overall, bookmakers expect a high-scoring game with Atalanta having the edge, but Sassuolo shouldn't be completely discounted.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Sassuolo averages 45% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Atalanta looks slightly more confident in these parameters: 52.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Sassuolo defeated Verona 3-0 (20.02.2026), won against Udinese 2-1 (15.02.2026), and lost to Inter 0-5 (08.02.2026). Atalanta, in their last three games, thrashed Borussia Dortmund 4-1 (25.02.2026), beat Napoli 2-1 (22.02.2026), and lost to Borussia Dortmund 0-2 (17.02.2026). A notable head-to-head was on November 9, 2025, when Atalanta was defeated by Sassuolo 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, both teams show an over-profile. Over the last five games, Sassuolo's matches have an average total of 3.2 goals, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Atalanta's average total is 3, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Sassuolo has surpassed the over 2.5 total in 4 out of 5 games, while Atalanta has done so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, the over 1.5 total was seen 3 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half, Sassuolo hit it 3 times out of 5, Atalanta 2 out of 5. Sassuolo most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), while they concede most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Atalanta scores most frequently between the 0-15 minute mark (30%), with conceded goals evenly distributed across five intervals at 20% each. This profile suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, where both sides are expected to score. The over 2.5 total seems a logical choice, considering Sassuolo's 4 out of 5 and Atalanta's 3 out of 5 over 2.5 totals, as well as their average goal stats. The odds for over 2.5 total are 1.92.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Sassuolo earns 5 corners per match, and Atalanta 6, totaling 11. For the over 9.5 corners total, Sassuolo hits it 3 out of 5 times, Atalanta 1 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 11, with odds of 2.87 for over 11 and 1.36 for under 11. Atalanta is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.68. Considering both teams average 11 corners per game, betting on over 11 corners seems justified, especially given both teams' attacking style and their tendency to create chances from the wings. It's also worth noting that Sassuolo often exceeds the 9.5 corners mark, which could further support the over line.