Prediction for match Sassuolo — Bologna

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on March 15, Sassuolo will face Bologna. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Sassuolo to win is priced at 2.57, Bologna's victory at 3.06, and a draw at 3.35. In terms of probability: Sassuolo - 38.36%, draw - 29.43%, Bologna - 32.22%. Based on this data, Sassuolo has a slight edge, but the gap isn't significant. The most interesting odds for totals are: over 2.5 goals at 2.08, under 2.5 at 1.87, both teams to score: yes - 1.75, no - 1.98. For individual team totals, Sassuolo over 1 goal is offered at 1.54, while Bologna's is at 1.71. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.43, X2 - 1.57, 12 - 1.38. Overall, the line doesn't highlight a clear favorite, and the totals and both teams to score bets are on the edge.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sassuolo has an average ball possession of 41.6%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Bologna, in the same period, holds possession 57.2% of the time, receives 2 warnings, commits 10.8 fouls, and is caught offside twice per match. Sassuolo's last three games: 09.03.2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2-1, 01.03.2026 Sassuolo - Atalanta 2-1, 20.02.2026 Sassuolo - Verona 3-0. Bologna's recent matches: 12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1-1, 08.03.2026 Bologna - Verona 1-2, 02.03.2026 Pisa - Bologna 0-1. Their last head-to-head was on 28.12.2025: Bologna - Sassuolo 1-1. Overall, both teams regularly collect points, and their encounters often end in draws.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Sassuolo stands out in terms of scoring: in their last five matches, they have exceeded the over 2.5 goals line 5 out of 5 times, while Bologna has only 1 out of 5 over 2.5 and 4 under. The average number of goals in Sassuolo's matches over five games is 3.4, while Bologna's is 1.6. Sassuolo scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.8, Bologna scores 1 and concedes only 0.6. By halves, Sassuolo has had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, while Bologna hasn't. In the second half, Sassuolo has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Bologna 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Sassuolo most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (44%). Bologna scores mainly between 46-60 minutes (75%) and concedes in the same period (50%). Overall, Sassuolo plays high-scoring games, Bologna is more restrained, but both teams are capable of scoring. However, Bologna is solid defensively, as evidenced by their low average goals conceded. The most logical choice seems to be betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.50, as Sassuolo consistently hits high outcomes, and Bologna can contribute to the scoreline with at least one goal.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sassuolo averages 5.2 corners over five matches, Bologna 6.6, totaling 11.8. Both teams have exceeded the over 9.5 corners line 4 out of 5 times. The closest line to this total is 11, with a couple of bets: over 11 corners at 3.48, under 11 at 1.24. You can also consider over 9.5 at 2.17 and under 9.5 at 1.61. For corner outcomes, Bologna is favored with odds of 1.83. Overall, both teams frequently take corners, and betting on over 9.5 seems justified given their average numbers and frequency of hitting the line in recent matches.