Prediction for match Sassuolo — Cagliari

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Cagliari

In Serie A on April 4th, Sassuolo will face Cagliari. According to the 1X2 odds, Sassuolo's victory is priced at 2.07, a draw at 3.21, and Cagliari's success at 4.55. In terms of probability: Sassuolo - 47.62%, draw - 30.71%, Cagliari - 21.67%. Sassuolo is the favorite, but the gap is not significant, and the odds on totals also deserve attention. Among all the options, the bet on total over 2.0 at 1.58 stands out as the most balanced in terms of risk and likelihood of success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sassuolo has an average ball possession of 41.8%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and has 1.2 offsides per game. Cagliari, in the same period, shows 46.8% possession, 3.2 yellows, 13 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three games, Sassuolo played as follows: 03/21/2026 Juventus - Sassuolo 1-1, 03/15/2026 Sassuolo - Bologna 0-1, 03/09/2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2-1. Cagliari in their last three matches: 03/20/2026 Cagliari - Napoli 0-1, 03/15/2026 Pisa - Cagliari 3-1, 03/07/2026 Cagliari - Como 1-2. In their head-to-head on 10/30/2025, Cagliari lost to Sassuolo 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Sassuolo has an average total of 2.4 goals scored and conceded, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1 goal per game. Cagliari has an average total of 2.0, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 totals, Sassuolo has 3 out of 5, Cagliari 2 out of 5. In the first half, Sassuolo exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Cagliari none. In the second half, Sassuolo has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Cagliari 3 out of 5. For goal intervals: Sassuolo most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (30%), Cagliari between the 46th and 60th (60%). For goals conceded: Sassuolo distributes evenly across four intervals at 25%, Cagliari concedes more at the start (0-15, 40%) and from 61 to 75 (40%). Overall, the goal totals and distribution for both teams suggest that a bet on total over 2.0 is optimal: Sassuolo shows good scoring ability, Cagliari's attack is weak, but their defense is not flawless, which gives a chance for two or more goals in the match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sassuolo averages 5.2 corners per game, Cagliari 3. In a series of five matches, Sassuolo recorded over 9.5 corners 4 out of 5 times, Cagliari none. Among the proposed totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.58, under 8.5 at 2.17. For the corner outcome, Sassuolo is the favorite with odds of 1.60. Based on statistics, it's logical to consider the option of total corners over 8.5, given Sassuolo's high activity in this indicator and their consistent corner delivery.